@amused85

#3,070,07021

0x8fe70c889ce14f67acea5d597e3d0351d73b4f20

~645d· 4773 markets · 58777 tradesVol: $20,498,5492026-08-02 05:21:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (1879/4729)4.9/20
0.96x (win $2,297,677 / loss $2,394,588)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8210/15
Sortino -1.1360/10
$-0.0163 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 30 (4729 markets)10/10
223/500 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 2225% of peak ($159,175 / $7,152)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
74% entries < $0.55
Whale
$5,939,040 invested
High Roller
$9,067/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,882,057$-140,515Vol: $6,974,571
CRYPTO#373$92,517Vol: $6,389,130
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,585$-41,759Vol: $6,029,567
🎭 CULTURE#815,950$-10,020Vol: $375,545
🌤️ WEATHER#296,152$-764Vol: $264,121
💰 FINANCE#655,895$-3,014Vol: $215,778
📈 ECONOMICS#672,057$-324Vol: $82,432
📢 MENTIONS#176,179$-3,399Vol: $13,445
💻 TECH#18,786$9Vol: $916

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-112,479
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,498,549
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4773
total markets
Trades
46425B / 12352S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~645d

Periods

#2
Today
$-134
Vol: $0
Week
$-3,993
Vol: $0
Month
$-3,449
Vol: $17,182
All Time
$-112,479
Vol: $20,498,549

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
1879W / 2850L events
Realized PnL
$-112,479
Win Rate
40%
1879W / 2850L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$1,223
Avg Loss
$-845

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $45,121 (0.40115088303267676% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on November 8?$16,423
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 25?$16,001
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?$12,697
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 22?$12,621
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 2?$12,551
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $109K on August 30 at 4PM ET?$9,588
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 8?$9,489
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $112K on August 28 at 4PM ET?$8,323
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 14?$8,003
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 14?$7,906

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$-15,536
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$-15,532
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?$-9,873
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?$-8,408
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on November 26?$-8,185
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?$-7,593
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?$-7,314
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 24?$-6,587
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on November 27?$-6,519
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-6,312

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.043
Sortino
-0.058
HHI
23
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
8.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
89.7
Very active
Markets / Day
7.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.6m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
101.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 3.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock90 trades/day — mass trading7.3 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.29
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.4%
Mid (20-55c)57.6%
High (>55c)26%

Sessions

#12
11/8/2025, 5:13:09 PM7 trades$55,4256 min
4/25/2026, 9:57:30 AM257 trades$49,40930 min
3/21/2026, 12:28:09 AM547 trades$40,69064 min
4/4/2026, 8:46:41 AM493 trades$39,54257 min
4/25/2026, 7:26:56 PM273 trades$36,9219 min
4/11/2026, 9:39:05 AM107 trades$36,91216 min
4/5/2026, 8:50:27 AM379 trades$34,73931 min
11/20/2025, 5:05:35 PM4 trades$33,5391 min
3/12/2025, 4:46:55 PM7 trades$32,45013 min
4/11/2026, 8:30:47 PM65 trades$31,96413 min
5/1/2026, 4:58:16 PM35 trades$30,6179 min
4/12/2026, 3:14:45 PM13 trades$29,9383 min
4/12/2026, 9:01:03 AM80 trades$29,54112 min
11/22/2025, 7:18:31 PM17 trades$28,75812 min
4/25/2026, 2:56:38 PM29 trades$26,68910 min
5/31/2026, 8:33:30 AM239 trades$26,47325 min
3/25/2025, 9:15:52 PM5 trades$25,6976 min
5/17/2026, 8:59:57 AM155 trades$25,57125 min
11/6/2025, 5:03:47 PM6 trades$25,3866 min
12/25/2024, 10:24:48 AM2 trades$25,3221 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-17
05-14
08-12
11-06
01-28
04-27
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 434 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.29/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L16.4 / M57.6 / H26