@jgdbvr

#35,9937

0x90134a5c61876dc0f35b72eed743605daae5fc71

~75d· 71 markets · 2005 tradesVol: $1,274,6622026-08-03 18:38:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (20/58)2.2/20
0.44x (win $46,428 / loss $104,351)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2950/15
Sortino -3.4160/10
$-0.2578 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1895 (58 markets)3/10
14/39 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 286% of peak ($91,240 / $31,948)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+3,433
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Whale
$224,672 invested
High Roller
$1,857/day
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#7,052$4,276Vol: $1,224,393
📈 ECONOMICS#678,880$-1,081Vol: $43,258
💰 FINANCE#647,258$-369Vol: $2,731
SPORTS#65,826$362Vol: $862

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,208
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,274,662
Total Redeem
$7,252
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
444B / 1561S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~75d

Periods

#2
Today
$-221
Vol: $20
Week
$-221
Vol: $20
Month
$-631
Vol: $20
All Time
$3,208
Vol: $1,274,662

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
20W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$3,433
Win Rate
34%
20W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$2,321
Avg Loss
$-2,981

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,053 (6.423507343131943% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$8,110
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$7,353
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$6,590
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5,574
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5,054
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$4,053
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$1,903
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$1,517
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1,509
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$1,062

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-43,246
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-25,832
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$-7,595
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-6,785
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-4,047
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$-2,926
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$-2,016
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,736
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-1,381
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$-1,006

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.170
Sortino
-0.150
HHI
2522
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.279
Kelly %
1.9%
Half-Kelly
0.9%
Top-1 market
48.7%
Top-5 markets
69%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 298s — normal for humanCV 3.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
30.43
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.7%
Mid (20-55c)33.6%
High (>55c)33.8%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 12:29:36 AM100 trades$81,4983 min
5/7/2026, 3:07:52 PM43 trades$57,7350 min
5/14/2026, 11:13:36 AM64 trades$57,4694 min
5/1/2026, 10:06:56 AM12 trades$39,2230 min
4/16/2026, 4:23:22 PM39 trades$21,9170 min
5/8/2026, 6:38:24 AM35 trades$19,1046 min
4/16/2026, 6:43:26 AM26 trades$16,2430 min
5/3/2026, 9:33:16 PM42 trades$15,75031 min
5/1/2026, 2:15:12 PM16 trades$13,9733 min
5/14/2026, 3:41:03 PM27 trades$9,8899 min
4/24/2026, 2:02:42 PM14 trades$9,8300 min
4/23/2026, 4:30:14 PM13 trades$9,1050 min
4/12/2026, 12:18:07 AM27 trades$8,5723 min
4/9/2026, 8:08:07 PM42 trades$8,3751 min
4/15/2026, 7:23:46 AM5 trades$8,3190 min
4/23/2026, 6:34:42 PM7 trades$8,1730 min
5/1/2026, 1:51:48 PM10 trades$8,0401 min
6/19/2026, 2:49:25 PM15 trades$7,7292 min
7/7/2026, 9:27:58 AM31 trades$7,2411 min
4/23/2026, 9:33:24 PM12 trades$7,0800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-01
04-16
05-14
06-01
06-15
06-29
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 30.43/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.7 / M33.6 / H33.8