@failstober
#463650x90ed5bffbffbfc344aa1195572d89719a398b5bc
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
39% (337/859)4.6/20
1.51x (win $1,389,000 / loss $921,240)8.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.31915/15
Sortino 7.27610/10
$+0.1232 per $1 invested6.2/10
HHI 119 (859 markets)10/10
56/131 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 33% of peak ($179,512 / $550,998)7.5/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+450,133
Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20
Whale
$3,797,254 invested
High Roller
$14,275/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders
Categories
8🎭 CULTURE#6$295,854Vol: $28,543,594
🏛️ POLITICS#235$221,639Vol: $3,901,156
⚽ SPORTS#1,905,862$-26,756Vol: $3,126,399
₿ CRYPTO#2,559$18,143Vol: $2,004,315
📈 ECONOMICS#869$6,580Vol: $1,552,020
💰 FINANCE#668,233$-43,615Vol: $569,880
💻 TECH#266,833$-446Vol: $4,499
📢 MENTIONS#178,278$-816Vol: $1,890
Overview
#1Net PnL
$458,302
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,763,105
Total Redeem
$58,700
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
895
total markets
Trades
67868B / 10246S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~180d
Periods
#2Today
$2,258
Vol: $0
Week
$3,066
Vol: $0
Month
$-391
Vol: $4,444
All Time
$458,302
Vol: $39,763,105
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
39%
337W / 522L events
Realized PnL
$450,133
Win Rate
39%
337W / 522L
Profit Factor
1.51x
Avg Win
$4,122
Avg Loss
$-1,765
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $416,515 (0.9253160155449196% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$267,468
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$84,927
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$64,120
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$45,725
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$45,535
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$41,785
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$40,529
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$40,019
US government shutdown Saturday?$28,734
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$27,300
Top Losers
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-75,937
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-40,588
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-30,777
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-23,131
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$-22,338
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-21,467
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-21,298
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-21,101
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$-20,508
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?$-19,923
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.121
Sortino
0.347
HHI
138
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.114
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
20%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
293.7
Very active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
85 min
Avg Trades / Session
221.0
Bot Detection
#675
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 7.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock294 trades/day — automation3.4 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
95.56
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)75.7%
Mid (20-55c)12.7%
High (>55c)11.6%
Sessions
#122/4/2026, 6:01:10 AM704 trades$70,218234 min
12/30/2025, 4:39:51 AM383 trades$48,75984 min
2/2/2026, 11:28:04 PM1 trades$44,3110 min
2/20/2026, 11:21:06 AM260 trades$42,87679 min
2/10/2026, 6:42:19 PM2 trades$42,8755 min
1/23/2026, 5:49:36 AM370 trades$42,101140 min
12/29/2025, 9:10:25 PM120 trades$41,92437 min
12/30/2025, 7:07:27 AM114 trades$40,550102 min
1/19/2026, 3:10:42 AM625 trades$39,322248 min
2/20/2026, 6:07:32 AM266 trades$36,38250 min
6/17/2026, 1:12:40 AM11 trades$33,49915 min
1/5/2026, 5:44:29 AM516 trades$32,537237 min
1/21/2026, 5:16:10 AM256 trades$31,981124 min
1/6/2026, 5:29:29 AM356 trades$31,23590 min
1/9/2026, 7:39:14 AM375 trades$29,99289 min
1/27/2026, 4:31:27 AM530 trades$29,691213 min
1/24/2026, 4:10:56 AM1016 trades$29,259449 min
1/31/2026, 4:47:50 AM125 trades$28,82754 min
4/30/2026, 8:46:58 PM12 trades$27,5644 min
2/28/2026, 6:09:43 AM66 trades$27,21229 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-10
12-27
01-17
02-07
03-02
03-25
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 124 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 95.56/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L75.7 / M12.7 / H11.6