@Mesrop2026

#2,742,6283

0x9112da2e74b270bf98ed82833d6f9f9884bd99a3

~10d· 34 markets · 159 tradesVol: $4,8962026-08-26 09:17:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (12/34)2.6/20
0.37x (win $79 / loss $213)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -13.5100/15
Sortino -11.2430/10
$-0.5148 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2925 (34 markets)0/10
3/10 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($144 / $0)0/10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-201
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,896
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
74B / 85S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
12W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-200
Win Rate
35%
12W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $45 (0.22407342744550307% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France win on 2026-07-09?$20
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$14
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$11
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$8
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$6
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$6
XRP Up or Down - August 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$3
Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$2

Top Losers

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-35
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$-32
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)$-31
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals$-28
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?$-11
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$-10
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)$-4
Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.671
Sortino
-0.781
HHI
1094
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.462
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.9%
Top-5 markets
61.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 375s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.09
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.2%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)55.4%

Sessions

#12
8/14/2026, 3:41:33 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
8/12/2026, 1:14:49 PM7 trades$1650 min
7/4/2026, 8:56:28 AM2 trades$830 min
7/9/2026, 9:45:43 PM10 trades$746 min
7/12/2026, 3:33:26 AM2 trades$610 min
7/10/2026, 7:00:43 PM2 trades$330 min
7/12/2026, 3:14:02 AM2 trades$260 min
7/3/2026, 6:06:46 PM2 trades$250 min
7/9/2026, 8:05:28 PM2 trades$240 min
7/9/2026, 9:37:01 PM2 trades$240 min
8/13/2026, 3:21:16 PM12 trades$243 min
8/14/2026, 11:45:16 AM12 trades$216 min
7/10/2026, 7:43:11 PM3 trades$200 min
7/2/2026, 2:37:41 PM2 trades$200 min
7/2/2026, 9:04:32 PM2 trades$190 min
7/3/2026, 6:17:38 PM3 trades$160 min
7/4/2026, 4:53:47 PM4 trades$153 min
8/13/2026, 1:45:13 PM4 trades$155 min
7/12/2026, 2:07:23 AM2 trades$140 min
8/14/2026, 4:17:33 PM12 trades$139 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-02
07-03
07-04
07-09
07-10
07-12
07-19
08-12
08-13
08-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.2 / M32.4 / H55.4