@NordhavenCap
#1,500740x91feec8af2b517f024d91564ee108d707cc0c1c6
~23d· 296 markets · 4877 tradesVol: $2,265,2232026-08-04 16:19:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (116/273)6.2/20
1.71x (win $130,247 / loss $76,180)11.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.55315/15
Sortino 9.98710/10
$+0.2219 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 759 (273 markets)8.7/10
12/21 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($25,753 / $61,521)5.6/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+132,162
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
Whale
$243,622 invested
High Roller
$7,382/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#648$132,162Vol: $2,265,223
Overview
#1Net PnL
$132,162
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,265,223
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
296
total markets
Trades
1777B / 3100S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d
Periods
#2Today
$-4
Vol: $652
Week
$-6
Vol: $62,115
Month
$13,686
Vol: $62,888
All Time
$132,162
Vol: $2,265,223
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
116W / 157L events
Realized PnL
$132,162
Win Rate
42%
116W / 157L
Profit Factor
1.71x
Avg Win
$1,123
Avg Loss
$-488
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $60,193 (0.45545238136853816% of PnL)
Top Winners
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5$34,435
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$14,562
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$11,196
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$9,767
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$9,112
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?$8,072
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$6,553
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-01?$6,045
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$5,120
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5$2,496
Top Losers
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5$-9,098
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$-8,757
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5$-6,518
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-22?$-5,451
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5$-4,977
Will New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?$-3,667
Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5$-3,589
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$-3,303
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?$-3,098
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5$-3,010
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.233
Sortino
0.412
HHI
996
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.222
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.4%
Top-5 markets
61.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
147.8
Very active
Markets / Day
9.0
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
31.7m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.4
Bot Detection
#665
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
47% gaps < 3s — suspicious speedCV 6.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity148 trades/day — automation9.0 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)39.6%
High (>55c)45.9%
Sessions
#127/9/2026, 8:25:22 PM142 trades$56,9878 min
7/7/2026, 12:31:02 AM73 trades$49,3856 min
7/9/2026, 8:00:34 PM81 trades$49,1454 min
7/7/2026, 1:20:34 AM53 trades$34,3820 min
7/10/2026, 7:35:50 PM36 trades$29,2675 min
7/12/2026, 3:32:02 AM13 trades$24,6630 min
7/9/2026, 8:10:10 PM21 trades$23,0520 min
8/2/2026, 12:09:51 AM104 trades$22,6650 min
7/12/2026, 2:10:58 AM33 trades$21,0290 min
7/10/2026, 7:29:55 PM5 trades$17,4060 min
7/7/2026, 1:56:22 AM54 trades$17,2650 min
7/23/2026, 4:19:13 AM38 trades$15,8520 min
7/7/2026, 12:09:07 AM42 trades$15,7140 min
8/2/2026, 1:14:38 AM65 trades$13,7103 min
7/9/2026, 9:29:46 PM30 trades$12,0050 min
7/11/2026, 9:36:25 PM10 trades$11,2760 min
7/26/2026, 12:04:22 AM118 trades$11,0812 min
7/11/2026, 9:47:32 PM25 trades$10,7217 min
7/23/2026, 4:26:31 AM28 trades$9,1820 min
7/26/2026, 1:49:28 AM42 trades$8,7214 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-03
07-06
07-10
07-14
07-19
07-23
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.5 / M39.6 / H45.9