Polydata
leCommissaire

@leCommissaire

#1,94983

0x9238743eeba8bbfe9e85ac7ba2e1e3d77877b73e

~562d· 2120 markets · 43180 tradesVol: $3,054,4582026-07-31 12:09:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (966/1939)9.9/20
2.06x (win $168,103 / loss $81,466)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.24615/15
Sortino 7.06910/10
$+0.1025 per $1 invested5.1/10
HHI 46 (1939 markets)10/10
298/481 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($14,481 / $90,445)10/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+98,626
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 20.0 entries/market
Whale
$845,213 invested
Consistent
298/481 profitable days
High Roller
$1,423/day
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#494$103,563Vol: $2,707,204
SPORTS#1,857,848$-2,484Vol: $176,140
🎭 CULTURE#5,821$807Vol: $60,506
💰 FINANCE#5,152$762Vol: $21,472
📈 ECONOMICS#5,668$373Vol: $13,643
CRYPTO#1,422,550$-69Vol: $10,252
📢 MENTIONS#168,880$-208Vol: $2,663
💻 TECH#15,201$15Vol: $1,243

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$98,608
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,054,458
Total Redeem
$2,047
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2120
total markets
Trades
25877B / 17303S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~562d

Periods

#2
Today
$101
Vol: $2,531
Week
$1,892
Vol: $53,546
Month
$6,781
Vol: $239,005
All Time
$98,608
Vol: $3,054,458

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
50%
966W / 973L events
Realized PnL
$98,626
Win Rate
50%
966W / 973L
Profit Factor
2.06x
Avg Win
$174
Avg Loss
$-85

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,826 (0.11990700183319544% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$5,298
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$3,266
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$3,262
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$2,970
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$2,967
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$2,362
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5$2,314
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$2,148
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?$2,057
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$2,047

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-9,104
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner$-4,564
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5$-2,012
Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5$-1,949
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?$-1,847
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B$-1,429
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madrid$-1,390
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?$-1,242
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$-1,033
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5$-1,015

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.222
Sortino
0.238
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.114
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
6.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
72.7
Very active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.4m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.4

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 264s — normal for humanCV 3.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock73 trades/day — mass trading3.6 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.04
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.8%
Mid (20-55c)33%
High (>55c)47.1%

Sessions

#12
2/4/2026, 7:30:49 PM97 trades$18,47359 min
2/9/2026, 10:12:21 AM24 trades$13,20515 min
5/9/2026, 6:22:26 PM3 trades$10,0480 min
4/1/2026, 12:44:21 PM24 trades$9,0618 min
2/25/2026, 3:39:40 PM27 trades$7,18312 min
1/31/2026, 3:45:40 PM19 trades$7,15411 min
6/28/2026, 7:15:05 PM7 trades$6,6893 min
7/3/2026, 7:35:17 PM31 trades$6,6817 min
6/14/2026, 8:58:43 PM341 trades$6,457106 min
5/26/2026, 2:43:48 PM64 trades$6,10129 min
3/4/2026, 3:27:19 PM14 trades$5,75411 min
3/23/2026, 11:04:45 AM35 trades$5,73629 min
3/12/2026, 6:18:59 PM8 trades$5,5972 min
7/22/2026, 8:32:30 PM89 trades$5,51538 min
12/14/2025, 2:30:51 PM10 trades$4,83817 min
10/17/2025, 9:17:59 AM16 trades$4,70310 min
4/29/2026, 7:04:42 PM5 trades$4,5151 min
4/29/2025, 2:16:44 AM11 trades$4,3288 min
11/24/2025, 4:51:13 PM26 trades$3,98421 min
5/8/2026, 6:25:41 PM38 trades$3,72935 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-15
05-14
08-16
11-18
02-09
05-02
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.8 / M33 / H47.1