@jarosbill

#1,44379

0x927cf2bb94d15707993f954552e56c74eb6d6633

~42d· 136 markets · 2446 tradesVol: $3,111,5642026-08-04 21:05:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (72/133)12.1/20
1.55x (win $315,304 / loss $203,877)9.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.81215/15
Sortino 4.96710/10
$+0.1448 per $1 invested7.2/10
HHI 204 (133 markets)10/10
58/104 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($27,023 / $114,419)9.3/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+137,826
DCA Master
Avg 18.3 entries/market
Whale
$769,552 invested
High Roller
$13,043/day
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

2
SPORTS#609$146,381Vol: $2,902,303
CRYPTO#865,954$-1Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$137,826
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,111,564
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
136
total markets
Trades
1799B / 647S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$8,249
Vol: $44,137
Week
$10,090
Vol: $84,786
Month
$2,108
Vol: $138,263
All Time
$137,826
Vol: $3,111,564

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
72W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$137,826
Win Rate
54%
72W / 61L
Profit Factor
1.55x
Avg Win
$4,379
Avg Loss
$-3,515

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $69,510 (0.5043278759557231% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$26,391
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$25,989
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$17,129
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$16,460
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$16,143
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$13,986
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$13,046
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi$12,108
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$10,862
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$10,330

Top Losers

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$-19,190
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$-17,610
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-16,767
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$-14,687
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers$-12,760
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$-11,802
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$-7,904
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$-7,441
UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$-6,717
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$-6,473

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.146
Sortino
0.202
HHI
255
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.145
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
25.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
41.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
5s
between trades
Avg Gap
26.0m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
60% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 3.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity41 trades/day — high frequency2.3 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.27
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)39.9%
High (>55c)57%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 2:02:16 AM65 trades$31,0244 min
6/21/2026, 8:30:41 PM47 trades$29,8204 min
7/11/2026, 9:30:23 PM84 trades$26,24910 min
6/22/2026, 2:38:10 AM11 trades$24,5370 min
7/11/2026, 10:20:04 PM31 trades$24,2664 min
6/22/2026, 4:21:32 PM1 trades$21,5280 min
6/20/2026, 7:12:49 PM1 trades$20,4000 min
6/22/2026, 11:46:34 PM10 trades$19,8231 min
6/22/2026, 11:13:59 PM18 trades$19,1615 min
6/20/2026, 11:00:55 PM55 trades$18,88011 min
7/12/2026, 1:01:01 AM145 trades$18,1459 min
6/25/2026, 10:56:28 PM22 trades$17,9980 min
6/21/2026, 11:41:47 PM36 trades$15,9661 min
7/10/2026, 8:24:02 PM53 trades$15,4331 min
7/4/2026, 10:44:01 PM11 trades$14,6000 min
6/21/2026, 12:40:23 AM8 trades$14,4734 min
6/19/2026, 7:42:11 PM21 trades$13,9822 min
6/27/2026, 11:55:43 PM38 trades$13,9821 min
6/20/2026, 12:20:37 AM2 trades$13,8000 min
6/23/2026, 9:43:28 PM3 trades$13,0200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-06-06 23:25:00
2026-06-13 13:00:00
2026-06-18 02:00:00
2026-06-21 09:30:00
2026-06-24 19:00:00
2026-07-06 10:00:00
2026-08-02 03:59:59

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.1 / M39.9 / H57