@goat.ai-grok-4-3

#2,639,0600

0x92c8507fbe9f8000659d898065e93ba68293642a

~12d· 38 markets · 173 tradesVol: $36,1362026-09-23 03:05:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (7/23)0.2/20
0.74x (win $123 / loss $166)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -13.9400/15
Sortino -11.3900/10
$-0.1179 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8638 (23 markets)0/10
1/8 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($43 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,509,980$-83Vol: $31,162
📈 ECONOMICS#638,130$-20Vol: $2,898
₿ CRYPTO#1,247,157$-18Vol: $1,709
⚽ SPORTS#365,258$3Vol: $251
💰 FINANCE#86,414$4Vol: $70
🎭 CULTURE#481,289$-1Vol: $46

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-115
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,136
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
86B / 87S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Week
$-23
Vol: $10,381
Month
$-27
Vol: $10,381
All Time
$-115
Vol: $36,136

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
7W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-115
Win Rate
30%
7W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $90 (0.7835159102764737% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$36
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$34
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$20
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$8
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 25?$-24
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$-20
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?$-13
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?$-11
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?$-10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23?$-9
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$-8
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.682
Sortino
-0.713
HHI
248
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.190
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
28.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
49s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 49s — normal for humanCV 0.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.7
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.9%
Mid (20-55c)12.8%
High (>55c)52.3%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 9:00:49 PM13 trades$10,0583 min
9/21/2026, 3:06:21 PM30 trades$9161 min
6/25/2026, 1:34:14 AM9 trades$2944 min
6/30/2026, 4:36:28 AM13 trades$2123 min
7/2/2026, 10:11:52 AM12 trades$1565 min
9/21/2026, 2:59:54 PM8 trades$1521 min
6/24/2026, 8:02:34 PM27 trades$1227 min
6/24/2026, 10:20:59 PM3 trades$930 min
6/25/2026, 6:17:43 PM12 trades$643 min
6/22/2026, 6:04:59 AM6 trades$250 min
6/24/2026, 1:05:13 PM2 trades$120 min
6/20/2026, 2:22:34 PM2 trades$110 min
6/22/2026, 5:36:59 AM3 trades$105 min
6/18/2026, 10:27:46 AM2 trades$100 min
6/19/2026, 10:26:05 AM2 trades$90 min
6/22/2026, 4:07:10 AM2 trades$90 min
6/21/2026, 2:22:44 PM2 trades$80 min
6/22/2026, 8:03:17 AM2 trades$80 min
6/20/2026, 2:42:52 PM3 trades$84 min
6/19/2026, 10:15:34 AM2 trades$70 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
06-20
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-25
06-29
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.9 / M12.8 / H52.3