@peterfromfamilyguy
#4,406890x93521335308a270795daa9f073b5406938b12227
~121d· 312 markets · 6893 tradesVol: $1,669,0792026-08-02 02:46:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
59% (162/274)14.6/20
2.12x (win $193,216 / loss $91,107)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.80315/15
Sortino 11.17810/10
$+0.1421 per $1 invested7.1/10
HHI 211 (274 markets)10/10
58/94 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($23,884 / $102,109)9.3/10
Badges
8Profitable
PnL $+39,010
DCA Master
Avg 22.5 entries/market
Whale
$718,789 invested
Consistent
58/94 profitable days
High Roller
$4,578/day
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#986$50,574Vol: $1,275,796
⚽ SPORTS#1,876,723$-11,392Vol: $111,782
📈 ECONOMICS#679,393$-1,582Vol: $67,412
🎭 CULTURE#12,330$245Vol: $55,505
💰 FINANCE#646,853$-389Vol: $51,750
💻 TECH#257,416$-2,085Vol: $44,764
📢 MENTIONS#893$1,575Vol: $32,559
₿ CRYPTO#28,356$1,134Vol: $20,517
🌤️ WEATHER#38,478$3Vol: $10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$39,010
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,669,079
Total Redeem
$367
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
312
total markets
Trades
4040B / 2853S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~121d
Periods
#2Today
$70
Vol: $4,103
Week
$3,059
Vol: $4,103
Month
$-107
Vol: $33,864
All Time
$39,010
Vol: $1,669,079
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
59%
162W / 112L events
Realized PnL
$39,010
Win Rate
59%
162W / 112L
Profit Factor
2.12x
Avg Win
$1,193
Avg Loss
$-844
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $97,889 (2.509328773812835% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$58,221
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$22,834
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$16,835
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$7,193
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$4,490
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$4,213
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$3,923
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$3,897
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,663
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$3,415
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-11,946
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-9,135
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-6,376
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-5,334
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-5,095
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-5,074
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-4,044
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-3,595
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$-2,062
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2,053
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.146
Sortino
0.398
HHI
198
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.157
Kelly %
1.1%
Half-Kelly
0.5%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
23.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
43.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.9m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.2
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 3.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock44 trades/day — high frequency2.0 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
22.45
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9.9%
Mid (20-55c)24.5%
High (>55c)65.6%
Sessions
#126/14/2026, 9:01:33 PM206 trades$32,79633 min
6/14/2026, 9:42:30 PM30 trades$19,20012 min
7/29/2026, 6:07:51 PM8 trades$16,9830 min
6/3/2026, 2:19:47 AM1 trades$16,5830 min
5/29/2026, 2:51:42 PM11 trades$16,1433 min
6/14/2026, 11:09:03 PM23 trades$15,11113 min
6/15/2026, 7:13:27 PM9 trades$13,0173 min
7/2/2026, 6:59:13 PM3 trades$12,9561 min
7/19/2026, 5:53:48 PM2 trades$12,5400 min
7/7/2026, 7:32:07 PM2 trades$11,1110 min
8/2/2026, 2:05:53 AM65 trades$9,9493 min
6/14/2026, 10:23:06 PM19 trades$9,7367 min
6/9/2026, 4:36:42 PM69 trades$8,90921 min
8/2/2026, 2:19:26 AM27 trades$7,8934 min
6/17/2026, 9:19:52 PM109 trades$7,06342 min
5/29/2026, 3:13:05 PM17 trades$6,7719 min
7/14/2026, 7:07:50 AM38 trades$6,6686 min
5/23/2026, 8:31:28 PM10 trades$6,1252 min
8/1/2026, 11:09:27 PM159 trades$5,62034 min
8/1/2026, 2:02:47 AM1 trades$5,4940 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
04-16
05-13
05-30
06-16
07-05
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.9 / M24.5 / H65.6