LlamaLoco0000

@LlamaLoco0000

#3,14455

0x93fb8127a1b21a112b11af936361225df0563e4a

~500d· 382 markets · 22783 tradesVol: $28,779,441 @LlamaLoco00002026-09-10 03:26:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (109/322)1.9/20
1.41x (win $2,471,332 / loss $1,746,751)7.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.07115/15
Sortino 3.50210/10
$+0.1506 per $1 invested7.5/10
HHI 214 (322 markets)10/10
65/190 profitable days (34%)1.1/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($501,791 / $796,647)1.4/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+99,087
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
Whale
$4,811,121 invested
High Roller
$5,832/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#105$478,460Vol: $18,024,574
CRYPTO#1,716,708$-514,229Vol: $5,666,372
SPORTS#1,429$50,100Vol: $2,415,689
💰 FINANCE#667,037$-4,293Vol: $576,061
💻 TECH#61$31,807Vol: $380,543
🎭 CULTURE#57$108,944Vol: $308,738
📈 ECONOMICS#452$16,162Vol: $241,363
📢 MENTIONS#180,162$-4,356Vol: $8,800
🌤️ WEATHER#6,194$139Vol: $849

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$60,613
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,779,441
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
382
total markets
Trades
17295B / 5488S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~500d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,772
Vol: $0
Week
$4,549
Vol: $41,975
Month
$-39,380
Vol: $71,792
All Time
$60,613
Vol: $28,779,441

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
109W / 213L events
Realized PnL
$99,087
Win Rate
34%
109W / 213L
Profit Factor
1.41x
Avg Win
$22,673
Avg Loss
$-8,358

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,334,261 (13.465488010842948% of PnL)

Top Winners

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$720,371
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$487,560
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$126,329
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$103,340
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$95,416
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$89,036
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$64,630
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$55,622
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$53,262
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$51,157

Top Losers

Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$-99,281
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$-85,282
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$-80,814
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$-79,041
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-71,162
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-69,469
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$-63,195
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-55,962
Will XRP reach $4.00 in August?$-50,782
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$-50,038

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.056
Sortino
0.168
HHI
224
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.155
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.5%
Top-5 markets
23.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.1m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.3

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 184s — normal for humanCV 8.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency0.5 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
60.65
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.3%
Mid (20-55c)34.6%
High (>55c)12.1%

Sessions

#12
8/23/2026, 2:04:28 AM48 trades$678,92910 min
6/24/2026, 5:34:40 AM8 trades$260,2660 min
12/3/2025, 3:15:35 PM1 trades$178,4470 min
5/9/2026, 2:05:46 AM41 trades$128,8108 min
2/28/2026, 7:30:29 PM10 trades$100,5600 min
4/28/2026, 12:44:48 PM29 trades$92,5016 min
2/28/2026, 6:19:55 AM70 trades$74,75513 min
9/11/2024, 4:20:00 AM5 trades$68,8753 min
8/2/2026, 2:10:59 AM22 trades$67,5300 min
7/15/2026, 4:05:07 PM19 trades$65,2350 min
7/20/2026, 10:28:58 PM13 trades$64,37210 min
2/28/2026, 1:35:17 PM15 trades$63,4211 min
2/28/2026, 1:44:23 PM2 trades$63,0820 min
4/28/2026, 6:23:52 PM3 trades$57,8251 min
6/18/2026, 6:54:22 PM14 trades$55,5010 min
7/19/2026, 3:52:03 AM8 trades$51,8591 min
4/28/2026, 9:58:26 PM17 trades$51,1657 min
4/1/2026, 3:45:13 PM27 trades$50,2851 min
8/24/2026, 5:15:13 PM18 trades$50,0443 min
8/12/2026, 3:14:04 AM7 trades$49,9940 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-08
07-16
09-22
12-17
03-24
05-16
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 545 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 60.65/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.3 / M34.6 / H12.1