oopslostmoney

@oopslostmoney

#3,156,30052

0x946e338b86a3b52d71b642c00a3ed38595031225

~78d· 339 markets · 7464 tradesVol: $720,5142026-10-02 15:28:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (52/308)0/20
1.28x (win $31,951 / loss $24,873)6.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.24315/15
Sortino 2.56210/10
$+0.1519 per $1 invested7.6/10
HHI 187 (308 markets)10/10
15/61 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 53% of peak ($7,434 / $14,127)3.5/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,620,410$-835Vol: $521,917
⚽ SPORTS#1,885,524$-1,235Vol: $49,331
₿ CRYPTO#1,659,517$-853Vol: $43,369
🎭 CULTURE#811,374$-360Vol: $13,140
🌤️ WEATHER#271,420$-33Vol: $8,028
📈 ECONOMICS#668,276$-75Vol: $7,796
💰 FINANCE#11,609$221Vol: $5,661
📢 MENTIONS#160,454$-47Vol: $1,547
💻 TECH#235,305$-8Vol: $1,091

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,746
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$720,514
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
339
total markets
Trades
2187B / 5277S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d

Periods

#2
Today
$-22
Vol: $415
Week
$-747
Vol: $24,554
Month
$-1,194
Vol: $58,727
All Time
$-8,746
Vol: $720,514

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
52W / 256L events
Realized PnL
$-1,593
Win Rate
17%
52W / 256L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$614
Avg Loss
$-100

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,743 (11.141581528530432% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8,157
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$5,419
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$4,167
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$4,057
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1,751
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$1,438
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$683
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$494
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$453
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$387

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-3,228
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-1,761
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,083
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-790
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-665
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$-639
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-639
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$-606
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$-509
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-495

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.065
Sortino
0.129
HHI
218
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.162
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
26.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
87.8
Very active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.8m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.8

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 258s — normal for humanCV 1.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock88 trades/day — mass trading4.0 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.75
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43%
Mid (20-55c)15.7%
High (>55c)41.3%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 10:05:04 PM8 trades$5,0396 min
6/18/2026, 6:04:04 PM19 trades$4,1223 min
6/26/2026, 8:23:46 PM45 trades$4,04020 min
6/18/2026, 3:42:38 PM10 trades$2,6675 min
6/5/2026, 9:15:10 AM44 trades$2,6449 min
6/14/2026, 9:28:06 PM25 trades$2,2879 min
5/29/2026, 3:28:08 PM41 trades$2,17118 min
6/19/2026, 6:48:50 AM8 trades$2,0004 min
5/18/2026, 1:54:06 PM7 trades$1,9192 min
6/6/2026, 6:04:52 AM16 trades$1,7892 min
6/14/2026, 5:41:00 PM36 trades$1,77123 min
6/17/2026, 10:17:29 PM76 trades$1,72132 min
6/3/2026, 10:47:13 PM14 trades$1,7020 min
6/18/2026, 1:54:35 PM67 trades$1,55917 min
6/25/2026, 10:09:44 PM31 trades$1,54314 min
5/12/2026, 8:41:45 AM32 trades$1,4185 min
6/25/2026, 9:04:56 AM18 trades$1,3351 min
6/14/2026, 9:16:33 PM25 trades$1,3166 min
6/26/2026, 6:01:04 PM40 trades$1,2966 min
6/17/2026, 4:30:23 PM20 trades$1,2909 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-11
05-23
06-05
06-19
06-30
07-11
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.75/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43 / M15.7 / H41.3