@0x9506…1c4f

#23,88533

0x9506e646497107cabf2d5b941a8e6a60d0db1c4f

~25d· 87 markets · 356 tradesVol: $312,3712026-08-23 14:31:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (49/85)13.8/20
0.91x (win $3,265 / loss $3,604)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3090/15
Sortino -1.6050/10
$-0.0509 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 197 (85 markets)10/10
15/24 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 184% of peak ($1,166 / $633)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+7,158
Consistent
15/24 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#396$5,506Vol: $312,371

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,506
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$312,371
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
87B / 269S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$-561
Vol: $2,285
Week
$-7,241
Vol: $2,285
Month
$2,925
Vol: $261,093
All Time
$5,506
Vol: $312,371

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
49W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$7,158
Win Rate
58%
49W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-133

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $674 (0.0942019975383532% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?$266
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?$212
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 31?$196
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 10?$195
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 31?$177
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 3?$162
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 23?$154
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 31?$149
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 31?$133
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 20?$120

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9?$-339
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7?$-293
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31?$-252
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 8?$-244
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 7?$-241
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 30?$-231
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 27?$-209
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 9?$-198
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?$-192
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 1?$-161

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.067
Sortino
-0.084
HHI
183
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.053
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
18.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.1h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7774s — normal for humanCV 0.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule13 trades/day — very active3.2 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)31%
High (>55c)69%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 6:29:38 PM27 trades$1,0570 min
8/8/2026, 6:25:12 PM15 trades$8900 min
8/9/2026, 5:35:33 PM10 trades$5450 min
8/2/2026, 5:33:50 PM6 trades$4270 min
8/2/2026, 11:24:36 PM6 trades$3600 min
8/6/2026, 6:31:27 PM6 trades$3440 min
7/30/2026, 6:30:08 AM6 trades$3340 min
7/31/2026, 11:31:41 PM7 trades$3230 min
8/10/2026, 7:27:03 AM4 trades$2970 min
8/2/2026, 5:23:44 PM3 trades$2690 min
8/8/2026, 6:35:28 PM2 trades$2530 min
8/3/2026, 6:25:32 PM9 trades$2490 min
8/1/2026, 12:22:02 AM4 trades$2470 min
8/5/2026, 5:29:59 PM8 trades$2290 min
7/27/2026, 11:26:43 PM17 trades$2230 min
8/3/2026, 6:36:06 AM6 trades$2190 min
7/28/2026, 5:27:26 PM2 trades$2050 min
8/3/2026, 6:35:42 PM5 trades$2010 min
7/24/2026, 6:32:13 PM7 trades$1990 min
7/27/2026, 5:35:36 PM8 trades$1970 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-16 12:00:00
2026-07-21 12:00:00
2026-07-26 12:00:00
2026-07-30 12:00:00
2026-08-03 12:00:00
2026-08-07 12:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M31 / H69