GautamVaruna

@GautamVaruna

#2,179,5325

0x959cb318c4ff016a7748410bca0b3185cead0067

~21d· 16 markets · 91 tradesVol: $2,4662026-08-26 10:01:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (2/9)0/20
0.79x (win $30 / loss $38)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1720/15
Sortino -3.0010/10
$-0.0693 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1582 (9 markets)4.6/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($20 / $0)0/10

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,223,395$-14Vol: $1,337
SPORTS#1,380,615$-11Vol: $864
🏛️ POLITICS#340,729$1Vol: $153
💰 FINANCE#391,535$-0Vol: $112

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-25
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,466
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
47B / 44S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $21
Week
$3
Vol: $101
Month
$-21
Vol: $265
All Time
$-25
Vol: $2,466

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
3W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-4
Win Rate
30%
3W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $30 (7.9867021276595755% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$17
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$13

Top Losers

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-17
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$-5
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$-5
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.105
Sortino
-0.192
HHI
578
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.116
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.7%
Top-5 markets
49.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.3h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10125s — normal for humanCV 0.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.44
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.4%
Mid (20-55c)23.4%
High (>55c)53.2%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 3:23:12 PM4 trades$914 min
7/29/2026, 3:17:59 PM4 trades$221 min
7/28/2026, 12:20:43 AM2 trades$180 min
7/28/2026, 3:27:35 PM2 trades$180 min
7/19/2026, 10:05:52 PM4 trades$170 min
7/20/2026, 11:28:01 PM4 trades$150 min
7/20/2026, 4:44:55 PM4 trades$151 min
7/11/2026, 10:49:26 AM3 trades$130 min
7/15/2026, 10:51:28 PM2 trades$120 min
7/17/2026, 4:21:03 PM2 trades$110 min
7/15/2026, 10:56:50 PM2 trades$100 min
7/27/2026, 10:45:40 PM6 trades$103 min
8/16/2026, 12:06:01 AM2 trades$100 min
7/10/2026, 5:40:46 PM2 trades$80 min
7/27/2026, 6:49:22 PM2 trades$70 min
7/14/2026, 10:21:50 PM2 trades$70 min
7/10/2026, 11:04:40 PM2 trades$70 min
7/13/2026, 1:23:35 AM2 trades$60 min
7/30/2026, 1:28:06 AM2 trades$60 min
7/18/2026, 9:40:51 PM3 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-15 19:00:00
2026-07-20 00:00:00
2026-07-25 11:00:00
2026-07-27 23:10:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00
2026-08-01 04:00:00
2026-09-02 03:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.4 / M23.4 / H53.2