@ExhaustedBoyBilly
#483350x96b59f71f635da5da031e3e93448c54fe226f5e7
~389d· 4447 markets · 331147 tradesVol: $136,155,4772026-10-05 23:36:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (2364/4444)11.6/20
1.01x (win $345,955 / loss $342,459)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0721.3/15
Sortino 0.1021/10
$+0.0007 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 46 (4444 markets)10/10
220/357 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 188% of peak ($33,825 / $18,005)0/10
Badges
9Profitable
PnL $+495,569
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
4% sells
DCA Master
Avg 7.5 entries/market
Whale
$5,279,245 invested
Consistent
220/357 profitable days
High Roller
$7,077/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#157$318,486Vol: $70,192,832
📈 ECONOMICS#68$101,129Vol: $18,550,444
₿ CRYPTO#332$89,775Vol: $17,584,460
🎭 CULTURE#827,034$-27,010Vol: $10,407,818
💰 FINANCE#1,947$2,510Vol: $4,509,673
🌤️ WEATHER#305,378$-60,644Vol: $4,170,873
⚽ SPORTS#1,919,116$-3,340Vol: $3,566,265
💻 TECH#274,500$-5,888Vol: $3,308,753
📢 MENTIONS#178,689$-502Vol: $1,616,768
Overview
#1Net PnL
$419,016
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$136,155,477
Total Redeem
$320,234
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4447
total markets
Trades
18539B / 14757S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~389d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$419,016
Vol: $136,155,477
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
67%
4218W / 2100L events
Realized PnL
$495,569
Win Rate
67%
4218W / 2100L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$146
Avg Loss
$-169
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $40,523 (0.08177046292572182% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?$17,282
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$16,759
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?$6,482
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$6,410
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?$6,046
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$5,789
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$5,635
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$4,546
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?$4,022
Will there be a US Government shutdown? $2,885
Top Losers
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?$-15,488
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$-12,673
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$-11,431
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$-9,768
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$-7,270
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$-6,884
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?$-6,684
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$-6,356
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?$-6,125
Who will win young men?$-6,102
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.004
Sortino
0.004
HHI
49
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
9.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
443.9
Very active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
15.3m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 260s — normal for humanCV 5.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock444 trades/day — automation6.0 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.48
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)35.4%
Mid (20-55c)14.2%
High (>55c)50.4%
Sessions
#123/16/2025, 7:38:37 PM1 trades$161,8000 min
1/19/2025, 7:59:53 PM2 trades$109,4341 min
1/20/2025, 7:39:59 PM16 trades$103,71822 min
12/20/2024, 1:32:18 AM6 trades$61,72210 min
12/17/2024, 9:14:36 PM1 trades$50,7000 min
1/1/2025, 7:03:20 AM1 trades$49,9500 min
1/18/2025, 4:44:51 AM9 trades$49,52614 min
1/19/2025, 8:46:17 AM25 trades$41,76031 min
2/12/2025, 1:51:06 PM4 trades$41,1703 min
1/19/2025, 12:46:35 AM2 trades$39,7395 min
11/5/2024, 7:54:43 PM27 trades$34,65726 min
12/29/2024, 10:03:10 PM9 trades$33,36712 min
1/22/2025, 11:06:11 PM10 trades$33,03114 min
11/6/2024, 12:58:59 AM6 trades$31,14412 min
1/21/2025, 9:41:35 AM3 trades$29,9215 min
11/8/2024, 5:57:21 PM1 trades$29,7600 min
3/19/2025, 8:09:25 AM1 trades$29,7600 min
2/28/2026, 6:51:19 AM1 trades$28,9500 min
11/7/2024, 2:34:07 PM2 trades$28,3002 min
12/5/2024, 2:59:00 AM4 trades$27,7275 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-16
09-15
11-13
01-11
03-12
12-03
06-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 76 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L35.4 / M14.2 / H50.4