Quandal

@Quandal

#3,060,57623

0x9797d6c41551f8fb64f3829f6d1b861f1c13c193

~275d· 602 markets · 4252 tradesVol: $1,436,3392026-08-04 19:58:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (259/544)8.8/20
0.88x (win $57,748 / loss $65,516)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7790/15
Sortino -1.2010/10
$-0.0203 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 156 (544 markets)10/10
76/175 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 26761% of peak ($20,025 / $75)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 8.0 entries/market
Whale
$382,530 invested
High Roller
$1,017/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,669$-1,904Vol: $752,582
SPORTS#1,870,634$-3,970Vol: $271,916
CRYPTO#1,635,286$-1,495Vol: $78,630
💰 FINANCE#656,328$-2,014Vol: $59,971
🎭 CULTURE#804,825$-458Vol: $35,594
📈 ECONOMICS#15,840$64Vol: $22,507
💻 TECH#240,965$-34Vol: $8,646
🌤️ WEATHER#254,369$-15Vol: $1,294
📢 MENTIONS#156,841$-51Vol: $944

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-11,249
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,436,339
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
602
total markets
Trades
2536B / 1716S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~275d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$62
Vol: $5,000
Month
$229
Vol: $12,900
All Time
$-11,249
Vol: $1,436,339

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
259W / 285L events
Realized PnL
$-11,249
Win Rate
48%
259W / 285L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$223
Avg Loss
$-251

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,202 (1.4403317387659451% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6,160
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$5,880
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4,162
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,217
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5$2,940
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2,428
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,279
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2,018
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$1,350
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage$1,208

Top Losers

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-7,669
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$-4,960
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-4,662
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?$-3,379
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$-2,963
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$-2,394
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-2,264
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-1,600
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-1,377
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-1,372

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.041
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
274
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
27%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 236s — normal for humanCV 2.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.02
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.2%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)63.4%

Sessions

#12
4/20/2026, 10:54:12 AM10 trades$9,5471 min
4/28/2026, 12:45:02 PM9 trades$9,04613 min
5/28/2026, 5:38:03 AM5 trades$8,1820 min
4/28/2026, 2:36:54 PM27 trades$7,75315 min
4/13/2026, 7:20:13 AM11 trades$6,6615 min
6/11/2026, 11:48:30 AM5 trades$5,6510 min
6/10/2026, 5:24:07 AM5 trades$5,5646 min
7/14/2026, 5:14:53 AM10 trades$5,0497 min
6/13/2026, 4:31:52 PM20 trades$4,92215 min
6/13/2026, 12:57:13 PM8 trades$4,8367 min
3/27/2026, 7:36:55 PM2 trades$4,8002 min
5/19/2026, 12:40:04 PM6 trades$4,7982 min
4/10/2026, 3:22:45 PM3 trades$4,7001 min
6/15/2026, 7:08:06 AM8 trades$4,6245 min
7/18/2026, 12:55:18 PM4 trades$4,5070 min
5/4/2026, 5:45:16 AM14 trades$4,2350 min
4/15/2026, 10:59:00 AM13 trades$4,1361 min
4/12/2026, 12:08:51 PM10 trades$4,1205 min
6/25/2026, 8:59:37 AM10 trades$4,0931 min
3/31/2026, 4:53:39 PM9 trades$3,9815 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-28
12-13
02-23
03-29
05-05
06-10
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 291 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.2 / M23.3 / H63.4