usernamedefault.txt

@usernamedefault.txt

#3,041,38218

0x9805cf385541892a26fd84a698e1acd693e008f9

~59d· 54 markets · 859 tradesVol: $103,9692026-08-02 09:29:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (19/50)4/20
0.80x (win $1,282 / loss $1,595)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3160/15
Sortino -3.7090/10
$-0.0223 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 391 (50 markets)10/10
9/20 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 698% of peak ($364 / $52)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
72% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,225$-5,173Vol: $78,259
SPORTS#123,542$96Vol: $24,098
CRYPTO#1,542,442$-226Vol: $1,563
📈 ECONOMICS#61,418$4Vol: $49

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,298
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$103,969
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
644B / 215S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$-27
Vol: $0
Week
$159
Vol: $0
Month
$-80
Vol: $0
All Time
$-5,298
Vol: $103,969

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
19W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-5,298
Win Rate
38%
19W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-51

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $578 (0.10914886870654315% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?$261
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?$164
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$154
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?$126
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$97
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?$67
76ers vs. Kings$66
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?$57
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?$50

Top Losers

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$-264
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?$-128
Warriors vs. Pistons$-124
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?$-120
Will Canada win on 2026-03-31?$-108
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?$-108
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-20?$-103
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?$-76
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$-67
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?$-62

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.169
Sortino
-0.176
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.079
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
10.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 3.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.66
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)71.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.1%
High (>55c)4.2%

Sessions

#12
4/18/2026, 3:13:58 AM6 trades$1,2460 min
4/23/2026, 4:54:28 AM2 trades$1,2390 min
4/16/2026, 2:17:22 AM7 trades$1,0720 min
4/7/2026, 5:37:31 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/8/2026, 8:53:17 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
1/12/2026, 2:52:08 AM1 trades$8770 min
1/21/2026, 6:54:16 AM2 trades$7870 min
6/1/2026, 6:16:16 AM7 trades$7230 min
6/1/2026, 2:33:58 PM15 trades$7020 min
7/13/2026, 6:03:43 PM16 trades$6210 min
4/7/2026, 11:01:25 PM2 trades$5670 min
4/16/2026, 2:24:16 AM15 trades$5560 min
1/12/2026, 2:57:38 AM1 trades$5380 min
4/16/2026, 1:00:38 AM23 trades$4904 min
5/18/2026, 6:01:03 AM13 trades$4790 min
1/21/2026, 6:43:02 AM1 trades$4720 min
3/20/2026, 9:47:45 PM10 trades$46911 min
4/1/2026, 12:55:09 AM28 trades$46917 min
4/1/2026, 2:08:03 AM9 trades$4650 min
3/21/2026, 7:25:17 PM3 trades$4481 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
02-16
03-14
03-20
03-31
04-07
04-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.66/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71.7 / M24.1 / H4.2