@0x998B3A…3464

#102,58033

0x998b3ad9fc8219f4a9ef374196ffbb690832db96

~87d· 253 markets · 659 tradesVol: $659,2692026-10-07 08:34:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (78/239)1.3/20
1.06x (win $1,748 / loss $1,655)3.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3897.3/15
Sortino 0.6826.8/10
$+0.0355 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 170 (239 markets)10/10
27/69 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($577 / $670)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+339
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
4% sells
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#71,001$84Vol: $549,827
📢 MENTIONS#2,511$423Vol: $44,712
⚽ SPORTS#1,583,603$-38Vol: $26,736
💰 FINANCE#14,562$150Vol: $19,368
🎭 CULTURE#129,886$2Vol: $18,376
🌤️ WEATHER#30,538$5Vol: $249

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$627
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$659,269
Total Redeem
$25
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
253
total markets
Trades
633B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~87d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $456
Week
$109
Vol: $231,116
Month
$264
Vol: $419,112
All Time
$627
Vol: $659,269

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
78W / 161L events
Realized PnL
$339
Win Rate
33%
78W / 161L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $657 (1.9360146252285193% of PnL)

Top Winners

Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx$364
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in May?$168
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$124
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next video?$114
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$84
Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?$61
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$57
Will Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Air Force Academy Address?$53
Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$47
Will "1/52 Project" win Tony Honors for Excellence in the Theatre at the 2026 Tony Awards?$43

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$-216
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-114
MLP St. Louis: St. Louis Shock vs Palm Beach Royals$-50
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm$-50
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$-48
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?$-46
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$-37
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-37
Will anyone say "Morty" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E9 S9?$-36
Will the announcers say "Cleat" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?$-32

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.020
Sortino
0.033
HHI
163
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.037
Kelly %
0.8%
Half-Kelly
0.4%
Top-1 market
8.2%
Top-5 markets
19.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
41.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2476s — normal for humanCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal2.2 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.59
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40%
Mid (20-55c)29.7%
High (>55c)30.3%

Sessions

#12
5/2/2026, 4:00:34 PM40 trades$19223 min
7/15/2026, 11:59:05 AM7 trades$704 min
6/9/2026, 9:55:13 AM1 trades$500 min
7/15/2026, 11:36:41 AM1 trades$470 min
7/17/2026, 12:39:07 PM11 trades$413 min
6/23/2026, 2:45:10 PM4 trades$372 min
6/14/2026, 11:41:16 AM2 trades$351 min
7/15/2026, 5:50:16 AM1 trades$330 min
7/15/2026, 1:01:19 PM1 trades$330 min
7/15/2026, 12:41:43 PM2 trades$320 min
6/4/2026, 1:47:07 PM3 trades$320 min
6/6/2026, 8:23:28 AM2 trades$300 min
6/6/2026, 12:58:52 PM4 trades$281 min
6/6/2026, 6:54:21 PM1 trades$270 min
6/21/2026, 4:55:05 AM1 trades$270 min
7/17/2026, 10:08:33 AM5 trades$275 min
5/28/2026, 9:10:23 PM2 trades$250 min
6/20/2026, 10:32:44 PM1 trades$250 min
6/4/2026, 3:16:28 PM1 trades$240 min
6/6/2026, 5:46:37 PM9 trades$243 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-17
04-30
05-12
06-05
06-16
07-02
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.59/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L40 / M29.7 / H30.3