@cassino

#15,56952

0x9b06708f82009f5ad2648d6cdc29c45d365b0b42

~286d· 834 markets · 6240 tradesVol: $2,337,3142026-09-21 16:07:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (394/829)8.8/20
1.18x (win $137,730 / loss $116,841)4.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.68512.8/15
Sortino 1.46110/10
$+0.0350 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 273 (829 markets)10/10
103/226 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 118% of peak ($24,633 / $20,889)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+6,343
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Whale
$596,819 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#1,726,298$-20,606Vol: $1,527,745
💰 FINANCE#157$28,728Vol: $320,566
⚽ SPORTS#15,685$2,930Vol: $290,472
🎭 CULTURE#825,822$-1,355Vol: $79,689
🏛️ POLITICS#1,584,817$-213Vol: $74,698
📈 ECONOMICS#6,871$280Vol: $29,018
📢 MENTIONS#177,598$-497Vol: $4,267
🌤️ WEATHER#5,345$186Vol: $2,167

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,978
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,337,314
Total Redeem
$303
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
834
total markets
Trades
4585B / 1655S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~286d

Periods

#2
Today
$42
Vol: $0
Week
$42
Vol: $0
Month
$3,146
Vol: $31,669
All Time
$9,978
Vol: $2,337,314

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
394W / 435L events
Realized PnL
$6,343
Win Rate
48%
394W / 435L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$350
Avg Loss
$-276

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $37,297 (5.8798898974962075% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$17,767
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11,200
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$8,330
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $5.00?$5,801
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 7?$5,109
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,947
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3,771
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?$3,607
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$3,468
Solana above $200 on February 21?$2,982

Top Losers

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$-8,836
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14?$-7,557
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?$-5,556
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?$-4,209
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?$-3,966
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?$-3,959
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?$-3,519
Will Bitcoin be between $96000 and $98000 on February 14?$-3,457
Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$-3,122
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?$-3,061

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.036
Sortino
0.061
HHI
395
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
33.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.7m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — normal for humanCV 5.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.77
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.2%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)32.1%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 1:57:15 PM2 trades$50,0000 min
1/31/2025, 3:01:58 PM38 trades$42,97449 min
2/14/2025, 2:51:27 PM23 trades$16,18740 min
2/26/2026, 3:39:26 PM12 trades$14,78315 min
2/20/2026, 4:59:20 PM16 trades$13,81713 min
2/3/2025, 1:12:25 AM14 trades$12,37327 min
2/20/2026, 2:30:46 PM8 trades$9,6526 min
2/2/2025, 10:42:37 PM8 trades$9,6085 min
2/3/2025, 12:40:23 AM16 trades$9,37921 min
1/28/2025, 2:24:42 PM10 trades$9,23312 min
1/26/2025, 10:06:18 PM9 trades$8,82412 min
3/14/2025, 3:32:37 PM22 trades$8,51323 min
3/12/2025, 2:15:57 PM5 trades$7,6862 min
2/3/2025, 1:59:23 AM4 trades$6,9891 min
2/5/2025, 12:35:47 PM1 trades$6,1600 min
2/3/2025, 7:32:53 PM14 trades$6,15217 min
2/2/2025, 11:25:47 PM9 trades$5,9558 min
2/20/2026, 8:52:04 PM13 trades$5,88215 min
2/3/2025, 1:49:55 AM4 trades$5,7882 min
2/2/2025, 10:56:57 PM2 trades$5,7014 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-02
09-19
01-26
03-14
05-17
02-27
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 345 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.77/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.2 / M30.8 / H32.1