@jan-delarus

#2,990,68931

0x9b5a7a5d2b7050ffeb3f9157746089595822fa77

~116d· 208 markets · 2052 tradesVol: $1,271,6782026-08-02 06:23:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (30/187)0/20
1.10x (win $20,414 / loss $18,569)3.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3556.7/15
Sortino 1.11210/10
$+0.0288 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 750 (187 markets)8.7/10
17/79 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 199% of peak ($7,972 / $4,000)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
81% entries < $0.20
Whale
$63,964 invested

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,851,127$-1,912Vol: $1,157,223
🏛️ POLITICS#9,448$2,759Vol: $58,394
📈 ECONOMICS#672,423$-343Vol: $27,264
🌤️ WEATHER#269,656$-34Vol: $10,374
CRYPTO#1,602,421$-713Vol: $7,069
💰 FINANCE#654,035$-1,395Vol: $5,526
🎭 CULTURE#798,358$-269Vol: $4,802
💻 TECH#217,157$-5Vol: $111
📢 MENTIONS#141,963$-20Vol: $64

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,981
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,271,678
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
208
total markets
Trades
816B / 1236S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~116d

Periods

#2
Today
$-45
Vol: $0
Week
$-276
Vol: $0
Month
$-202
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,981
Vol: $1,271,678

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
30W / 157L events
Realized PnL
$-1,981
Win Rate
16%
30W / 157L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$680
Avg Loss
$-134

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,703 (8.93834509780161% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$8,888
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,450
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1,364
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$550
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$325
Knicks vs. Spurs$267
Spurs vs. Knicks$235
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?$173
Spurs vs. Knicks$170
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$111

Top Losers

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,029
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,808
Will Tesla dip to $405 in January?$-1,010
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-978
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-807
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-651
Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?$-578
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-543
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?$-500
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$-486

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.018
Sortino
0.061
HHI
739
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.8%
Top-5 markets
53.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 2.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)81.2%
Mid (20-55c)8.6%
High (>55c)10.2%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 8:47:44 PM6 trades$17,0400 min
7/12/2026, 2:33:37 AM43 trades$15,2333 min
7/14/2026, 7:03:47 PM14 trades$10,1850 min
4/7/2026, 10:56:37 PM11 trades$8,6742 min
7/16/2026, 5:14:46 AM47 trades$5,8960 min
7/15/2026, 9:05:52 PM4 trades$4,7421 min
7/7/2026, 5:19:02 AM16 trades$4,3940 min
7/10/2026, 8:05:14 PM4 trades$4,1221 min
5/7/2026, 8:23:45 PM12 trades$3,6301 min
7/15/2026, 2:42:26 AM2 trades$3,5840 min
7/6/2026, 11:28:32 PM8 trades$3,5412 min
4/28/2026, 10:07:30 PM6 trades$3,4850 min
7/15/2026, 8:48:31 PM17 trades$3,1913 min
7/31/2026, 8:21:57 PM37 trades$3,0796 min
5/18/2026, 4:03:22 PM45 trades$2,9574 min
7/20/2026, 8:23:39 PM48 trades$2,9276 min
6/17/2026, 12:14:23 AM20 trades$2,9069 min
1/26/2026, 10:09:53 PM3 trades$2,5804 min
5/8/2026, 1:44:12 AM5 trades$2,3420 min
4/7/2026, 10:47:19 PM7 trades$2,2340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-10
02-14
01-14
04-08
05-29
06-22
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 96 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L81.2 / M8.6 / H10.2