@0x9bda…439f

#3,075,65417

0x9bda6175e7641de0d89390ee13ed80ba890a439f

~67d· 862 markets · 4094 tradesVol: $381,6632026-08-26 09:17:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (343/860)4.9/20
0.72x (win $10,386 / loss $14,420)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5680/15
Sortino -3.9330/10
$-0.1579 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 109 (860 markets)10/10
25/63 profitable days (40%)2.4/10
Max DD 442% of peak ($5,215 / $1,181)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#303,823$-3,490Vol: $360,349
🏛️ POLITICS#1,600,607$-396Vol: $11,976
₿ CRYPTO#1,555,204$-196Vol: $4,226
📢 MENTIONS#173,292$-263Vol: $1,385
💰 FINANCE#650,883$-262Vol: $1,177
⚽ SPORTS#143,723$70Vol: $798
🎭 CULTURE#10,900$308Vol: $570

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,430
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$381,663
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
862
total markets
Trades
2973B / 1121S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~67d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
343W / 517L events
Realized PnL
$-4,430
Win Rate
40%
343W / 517L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,115 (0.25162698618726537% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 26?$504
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on April 3?$309
Will LaGuardia Airport (LGA) be open to departures by 2:00 PM ET on March 23, 2026?$302
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 13?$276
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 26?$229
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?$202
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 12?$182
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?$170
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 4?$169
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?$148

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,464
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?$-535
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?$-478
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?$-300
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)$-263
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 28?$-200
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5?$-138
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 30?$-138
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on March 12?$-133
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 4?$-130

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.185
Sortino
-0.185
HHI
75
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.150
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
12.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.5
Very active
Markets / Day
10.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.2m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
34.9

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 190s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock51 trades/day — mass trading11 markets/day — mass coverage45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.8
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.5%
Mid (20-55c)11.2%
High (>55c)28.3%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 10:02:40 AM91 trades$6,5974 min
4/26/2026, 7:02:32 PM93 trades$6,55820 min
4/27/2026, 9:59:52 PM17 trades$5,0935 min
4/25/2026, 6:56:40 PM152 trades$3,03657 min
4/25/2026, 9:59:58 AM74 trades$2,75314 min
4/27/2026, 12:00:08 AM78 trades$2,74818 min
4/24/2026, 10:01:06 AM68 trades$2,7092 min
4/24/2026, 6:01:02 AM124 trades$2,33720 min
4/25/2026, 6:01:08 AM58 trades$2,2361 min
4/27/2026, 6:02:38 AM75 trades$2,05112 min
4/24/2026, 7:01:04 PM61 trades$2,00610 min
4/29/2026, 4:36:10 PM10 trades$1,7462 min
4/27/2026, 7:02:36 PM68 trades$1,6434 min
4/24/2026, 12:01:18 AM73 trades$1,6167 min
4/25/2026, 12:01:20 AM70 trades$1,59310 min
4/4/2026, 12:02:29 AM72 trades$65522 min
4/1/2026, 4:23:07 PM2 trades$6510 min
5/2/2026, 3:11:20 PM4 trades$5480 min
4/3/2026, 12:08:03 AM78 trades$4865 min
5/3/2026, 2:02:58 AM7 trades$4150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-25
03-08
03-18
03-28
04-23
05-03
05-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 50 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
80% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.5 / M11.2 / H28.3