@Muskymusk
#3,112,450210x9d4dc118d20e0f5de3aa02ed474f7e1724696d87
~74d· 284 markets · 1475 tradesVol: $279,2082026-10-08 04:45:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (131/282)8.2/20
0.83x (win $8,145 / loss $9,871)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6160/15
Sortino -2.0410/10
$-0.0278 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 196 (282 markets)10/10
27/65 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 212% of peak ($3,270 / $1,544)0/10
Badges
5Contrarian
74% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Whale
$62,002 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8₿ CRYPTO#1,672,262$-1,015Vol: $96,732
🎭 CULTURE#658,061$-6Vol: $94,752
⚽ SPORTS#1,899,862$-1,612Vol: $44,108
🏛️ POLITICS#118,970$28Vol: $31,284
💰 FINANCE#8,418$377Vol: $8,312
📈 ECONOMICS#19,630$43Vol: $1,373
📢 MENTIONS#162,415$-53Vol: $638
💻 TECH#17,761$12Vol: $400
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,313
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$279,208
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
284
total markets
Trades
945B / 530S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~74d
Periods
#2Today
$140
Vol: $0
Week
$-375
Vol: $22,066
Month
$-375
Vol: $22,066
All Time
$-2,313
Vol: $279,208
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
131W / 151L events
Realized PnL
$-1,933
Win Rate
46%
131W / 151L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$62
Avg Loss
$-66
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,003 (1.0364608125168153% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?$1,049
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 24-31?$594
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8AM ET$361
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?$335
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?$303
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?$284
Rockets vs. Hawks$231
Pacers vs. Lakers$205
Senators vs. Rangers$185
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$182
Top Losers
Raptors vs. 76ers$-1,048
Raptors vs. Hawks$-893
Nuggets vs. Mavericks$-429
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$-384
Warriors vs. Rockets$-377
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$-375
Thunder vs. Timberwolves$-272
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5PM ET$-261
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$-245
Will the price of Solana be between $200 and $210 on September 1?$-220
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.084
Sortino
-0.097
HHI
174
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
22.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.6m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 272s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.19
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22.6%
Mid (20-55c)51.1%
High (>55c)26.2%
Sessions
#122/7/2025, 2:01:06 PM6 trades$2,4396 min
2/11/2025, 5:17:55 PM2 trades$2,0332 min
1/24/2025, 5:40:29 AM5 trades$1,8138 min
1/25/2025, 11:35:30 PM2 trades$1,5602 min
2/12/2025, 12:18:37 AM6 trades$1,4714 min
9/5/2025, 7:09:18 AM14 trades$1,46813 min
1/31/2025, 5:04:02 PM9 trades$1,42812 min
2/7/2025, 5:57:44 PM20 trades$1,29418 min
2/1/2025, 10:47:32 PM3 trades$1,2797 min
2/7/2025, 4:40:24 PM3 trades$1,2174 min
2/11/2025, 6:53:40 PM2 trades$1,1433 min
1/24/2025, 4:09:33 AM1 trades$1,1170 min
1/24/2025, 4:17:01 AM1 trades$1,1170 min
1/26/2025, 1:03:35 AM1 trades$1,1150 min
1/29/2025, 2:43:39 AM1 trades$1,1070 min
1/29/2025, 1:28:13 AM1 trades$1,0650 min
1/30/2025, 9:58:16 AM23 trades$1,0413 min
1/31/2025, 4:09:36 PM1 trades$1,0280 min
1/26/2025, 1:23:17 AM3 trades$9816 min
2/1/2025, 6:59:37 PM7 trades$9574 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
01-07
01-21
02-01
02-11
09-02
09-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 359 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.19/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.6 / M51.1 / H26.2