Tanjiro.Kamado

@Tanjiro.Kamado

#3,051,61710

0x9d77b70cd7f7b8aa1edc140e364dc4519d67cf31

~125d· 515 markets · 18829 tradesVol: $4,446,6652026-08-02 06:25:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

9% (42/473)0/20
0.50x (win $26,139 / loss $52,565)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9290/15
Sortino -4.0160/10
$-0.0998 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 216 (473 markets)10/10
14/96 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 364% of peak ($36,422 / $9,996)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20
Whale
$264,812 invested
High Roller
$2,053/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#225,867$-5Vol: $779

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,297
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,446,665
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
515
total markets
Trades
6044B / 12785S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~125d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
9%
42W / 431L events
Realized PnL
$-8,297
Win Rate
9%
42W / 431L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$622
Avg Loss
$-135

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,221 (2.075602318882501% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$11,997
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$2,778
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$2,446
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$1,383
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$1,329
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$990
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$728
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$711
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$692
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$591

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-6,024
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-2,965
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,894
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-2,008
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-1,737
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,680
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,346
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,111
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-1,016
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-800

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.152
Sortino
-0.210
HHI
620
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.100
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.3%
Top-5 markets
46.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
146.0
Very active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.4m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
39.6

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 5.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock146 trades/day — automation4.0 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
38.81
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.1%
Mid (20-55c)3.4%
High (>55c)33.6%

Sessions

#12
5/29/2026, 4:13:53 AM11 trades$35,9854 min
6/20/2026, 4:16:49 AM13 trades$26,0434 min
4/4/2026, 3:58:37 AM12 trades$19,1415 min
5/25/2026, 10:13:25 PM186 trades$19,12416 min
6/14/2026, 1:49:19 PM34 trades$17,48211 min
4/8/2026, 1:36:19 AM25 trades$16,8363 min
6/26/2026, 7:20:26 AM64 trades$15,9015 min
7/1/2026, 5:22:40 AM40 trades$15,38915 min
5/22/2026, 10:38:13 PM41 trades$15,26916 min
5/29/2026, 3:46:46 PM229 trades$13,99744 min
4/26/2026, 11:02:40 AM55 trades$13,91613 min
4/8/2026, 11:25:19 AM11 trades$12,9822 min
4/9/2026, 12:52:55 AM35 trades$12,9064 min
4/22/2026, 9:21:22 PM55 trades$12,6777 min
5/25/2026, 9:41:55 PM63 trades$12,53114 min
4/27/2026, 2:12:04 AM22 trades$12,5179 min
4/7/2026, 11:04:07 PM123 trades$11,18038 min
4/13/2026, 11:01:33 PM5 trades$10,1590 min
5/28/2026, 10:24:18 PM41 trades$10,1505 min
6/14/2026, 9:56:51 PM37 trades$10,0439 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
04-14
05-05
05-28
06-20
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 86 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 38.81/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63.1 / M3.4 / H33.6