Saldivva

@Saldivva

#89,27684

0x9e462ff3725844cb1e14856ecc03948129f324de

~79d· 264 markets · 1007 tradesVol: $88,0382026-08-04 23:02:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (161/248)17.5/20
1.97x (win $15,908 / loss $8,078)14.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.95515/15
Sortino 12.31210/10
$+0.1590 per $1 invested8/10
HHI 1952 (248 markets)2.7/10
36/62 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($1,851 / $8,240)9.5/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+841
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#651,064$-562Vol: $47,649
📢 MENTIONS#1,217$1,054Vol: $13,510
🏛️ POLITICS#1,513,821$-94Vol: $12,325
SPORTS#81,327$237Vol: $6,876
🎭 CULTURE#800,680$-303Vol: $3,232
CRYPTO#1,527,408$-183Vol: $1,247
💻 TECH#7,175$71Vol: $732
📈 ECONOMICS#604,069$-11Vol: $42

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$841
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$88,038
Total Redeem
$1,708
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
264
total markets
Trades
714B / 293S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

Periods

#2
Today
$126
Vol: $2,224
Week
$170
Vol: $2,224
Month
$144
Vol: $2,718
All Time
$841
Vol: $88,038

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
161W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$841
Win Rate
65%
161W / 87L
Profit Factor
1.97x
Avg Win
$99
Avg Loss
$-94

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,471 (11.267172666492185% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5,815
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,722
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$934
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$849
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$585
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026$483
Will Jensen Huang say "Gemini" or "Perplexity" 4+ times during NVIDIA keynote?$290
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$215
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?$192
Will Google say "ChatGPT" or "OpenAI" during earnings call?$190

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-980
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-550
Will "White House" or "Ballroom" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?$-505
Will North West release an album by December 31?$-482
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-476
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?$-454
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?$-387
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" in Corpus Christi on Friday?$-372
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-365
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-275

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.153
Sortino
0.524
HHI
2775
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.127
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
51.3%
Top-5 markets
69.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.98
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.8%
Mid (20-55c)26.5%
High (>55c)62.7%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 11:41:24 AM18 trades$5,6420 min
4/2/2026, 2:56:47 AM18 trades$5,3770 min
7/12/2026, 3:11:13 AM91 trades$3,5533 min
8/4/2026, 2:13:21 AM19 trades$3,2073 min
7/22/2026, 11:14:30 PM4 trades$2,7960 min
4/11/2026, 11:43:43 PM32 trades$1,7371 min
4/1/2026, 12:33:41 AM7 trades$1,6301 min
4/7/2026, 11:06:53 PM10 trades$1,2086 min
2/28/2026, 5:41:17 PM6 trades$1,0533 min
7/13/2026, 12:00:55 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/29/2026, 10:47:44 PM6 trades$9640 min
3/11/2026, 1:43:47 PM2 trades$8822 min
1/31/2026, 12:09:10 AM10 trades$8616 min
3/2/2026, 12:18:03 AM1 trades$8320 min
5/1/2026, 3:00:46 AM13 trades$8251 min
2/27/2026, 10:04:11 PM5 trades$8226 min
3/2/2026, 3:19:31 AM1 trades$8030 min
3/8/2026, 12:01:41 AM2 trades$7633 min
3/3/2026, 7:31:07 PM2 trades$7341 min
4/30/2026, 3:06:02 AM3 trades$7290 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-05
01-25
02-16
03-01
03-11
04-08
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.8 / M26.5 / H62.7