NERA

@NERA

#3,071,94429

0x9e9ad7b5ca1c0c008b25a0fcfd7ffea62bb15d99

~329d· 460 markets · 8612 tradesVol: $4,217,957 @neracrpto2026-08-04 20:58:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (239/445)11.9/20
0.89x (win $104,289 / loss $117,808)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4120/15
Sortino -0.7650/10
$-0.0134 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 179 (445 markets)10/10
117/210 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 1447% of peak ($62,494 / $4,318)0/10

Badges

7
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 19.9 entries/market
Whale
$1,005,519 invested
High Roller
$1,530/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#10,013$2,521Vol: $1,669,187
SPORTS#1,878,825$-12,971Vol: $1,132,472
CRYPTO#1,664,121$-3,952Vol: $790,118
💻 TECH#259,235$-23,732Vol: $398,444
🎭 CULTURE#816,700$-10,342Vol: $90,802
📈 ECONOMICS#669,956$-225Vol: $90,679
💰 FINANCE#655,862$-1,705Vol: $33,280
📢 MENTIONS#172,566$-410Vol: $6,117

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-50,476
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,217,957
Total Redeem
$124
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
460
total markets
Trades
6388B / 2224S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~329d

Periods

#2
Today
$-279
Vol: $1,742
Week
$-268
Vol: $4,606
Month
$-486
Vol: $10,669
All Time
$-50,476
Vol: $4,217,957

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
239W / 206L events
Realized PnL
$-50,476
Win Rate
54%
239W / 206L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$436
Avg Loss
$-589

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $42,814 (0.8482137497436892% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34,440
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$4,280
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$4,094
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?$3,267
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$2,421
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?$2,185
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1,960
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1,932
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$1,877
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?$1,749

Top Losers

Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$-9,021
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?$-8,231
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-7,881
Broncos vs. Eagles$-7,265
Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?$-4,836
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?$-4,627
Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?$-3,329
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,060
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$-2,979
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?$-2,959

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.021
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
153
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
20%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.3m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 188s — normal for humanCV 5.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.87
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.6%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)21.7%

Sessions

#12
11/10/2024, 6:36:13 PM2 trades$23,9400 min
11/9/2024, 4:46:01 AM2 trades$23,2870 min
12/25/2024, 8:43:55 PM1 trades$21,7060 min
11/10/2024, 6:14:53 AM1 trades$20,7360 min
11/10/2024, 11:52:19 AM1 trades$18,6600 min
2/7/2025, 3:27:45 PM1 trades$17,7120 min
12/13/2024, 4:56:01 PM1 trades$17,0490 min
1/19/2025, 10:02:23 PM7 trades$16,65016 min
11/8/2024, 1:53:17 PM4 trades$15,7724 min
12/10/2024, 11:43:44 AM3 trades$15,3095 min
1/19/2025, 11:06:01 AM111 trades$15,29623 min
1/18/2025, 9:35:27 PM1 trades$15,2810 min
1/18/2025, 1:48:19 PM10 trades$15,1096 min
1/18/2025, 1:27:51 PM8 trades$15,0462 min
1/18/2025, 1:35:43 PM1 trades$15,0460 min
12/10/2024, 8:43:28 PM1 trades$15,0400 min
1/18/2025, 1:19:37 PM2 trades$14,8881 min
12/10/2024, 10:41:32 PM1 trades$13,9440 min
1/19/2025, 11:41:15 AM2 trades$13,1291 min
11/28/2024, 9:00:56 PM2 trades$12,9022 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
12-08
03-07
11-17
01-24
03-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 332 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.87/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.6 / M9.7 / H21.7