Etherapp

@Etherapp

#2,832,07911

0x9facb2623e894e9e20d62eac9b84bce000a73e5a

~54d· 418 markets · 1066 tradesVol: $156,9992026-08-24 13:43:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (126/397)0.9/20
0.48x (win $493 / loss $1,037)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.1400/15
Sortino -7.1970/10
$-0.2289 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 487 (397 markets)10/10
12/44 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 1894% of peak ($606 / $32)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#37,270$36Vol: $130,099
CRYPTO#1,576,809$-266Vol: $16,844
🏛️ POLITICS#1,504,007$-74Vol: $5,161
SPORTS#1,549,516$-34Vol: $2,244
💰 FINANCE#626,071$-54Vol: $1,851
📈 ECONOMICS#28,235$22Vol: $648
💻 TECH#11,302$29Vol: $130
📢 MENTIONS#81,787$-1Vol: $17
🌤️ WEATHER#219,018$-3Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-345
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$156,999
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
418
total markets
Trades
736B / 330S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$-22
Vol: $2,618
Week
$-22
Vol: $10,415
Month
$-14
Vol: $93,219
All Time
$-345
Vol: $156,999

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
126W / 271L events
Realized PnL
$-554
Win Rate
32%
126W / 271L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $139 (0.25090771148322766% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$69
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?$38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$31
Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?$21
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$17
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 23, 2026?$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$13
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$11

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$-145
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$-113
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?$-48
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of February?$-42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$-37
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$-36
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$-20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-19
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.369
Sortino
-0.382
HHI
265
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.237
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
30.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 196s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal2.0 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.49
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.9%
Mid (20-55c)48.9%
High (>55c)16.2%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 11:29:47 PM20 trades$3377 min
8/6/2026, 12:10:29 AM9 trades$3300 min
8/12/2026, 6:18:52 AM8 trades$2741 min
8/5/2026, 8:57:41 PM9 trades$2290 min
7/28/2026, 11:43:53 PM5 trades$1951 min
8/7/2026, 5:07:31 AM8 trades$1472 min
8/2/2026, 5:06:29 PM7 trades$1303 min
8/11/2026, 10:03:27 PM12 trades$1250 min
8/6/2026, 1:00:35 AM7 trades$1221 min
8/10/2026, 1:25:40 AM6 trades$1210 min
7/29/2026, 3:55:44 PM13 trades$1155 min
8/12/2026, 11:49:42 AM2 trades$1120 min
8/11/2026, 10:29:27 PM3 trades$1060 min
8/4/2026, 5:23:29 PM4 trades$1020 min
8/8/2026, 1:57:27 AM4 trades$774 min
8/5/2026, 9:39:38 PM4 trades$740 min
8/11/2026, 9:24:24 PM6 trades$638 min
7/27/2026, 3:14:37 AM4 trades$615 min
8/2/2026, 1:57:15 AM3 trades$600 min
2/1/2026, 9:39:04 PM10 trades$5912 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-18
01-31
02-07
02-24
07-26
08-04
08-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 198 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.49/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34.9 / M48.9 / H16.2