@keynesian.multiplier
#72,283610x9fc3008979bad97e6ea01a7062bbf7f3edf212af
~114d· 354 markets · 4086 tradesVol: $413,4952026-08-04 18:58:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (179/319)13.1/20
1.53x (win $4,288 / loss $2,810)9.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.03515/15
Sortino 2.48110/10
$+0.0295 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 1890 (319 markets)3.1/10
48/80 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 60% of peak ($1,329 / $2,199)1.9/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+1,225
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 12.7 entries/market
Whale
$50,043 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#40,411$240Vol: $311,156
🎭 CULTURE#4,653$1,127Vol: $52,006
📢 MENTIONS#170,201$-245Vol: $18,450
🌤️ WEATHER#11,364$41Vol: $16,272
₿ CRYPTO#1,224,623$-16Vol: $7,804
📈 ECONOMICS#9,849$151Vol: $3,534
💻 TECH#229,365$-12Vol: $1,857
💰 FINANCE#621,652$-57Vol: $1,536
⚽ SPORTS#1,184,641$-4Vol: $664
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,224
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$413,495
Total Redeem
$682
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
354
total markets
Trades
2976B / 1110S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d
Periods
#2Today
$-37
Vol: $220
Week
$-2
Vol: $3,605
Month
$6
Vol: $7,496
All Time
$1,224
Vol: $413,495
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
179W / 140L events
Realized PnL
$1,225
Win Rate
56%
179W / 140L
Profit Factor
1.53x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-20
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,096 (0.894384590270976% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$445
Will France strike Iran by March 31?$326
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$325
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$283
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$242
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?$216
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$207
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?$155
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$135
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$129
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,362
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?$-123
Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?$-87
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$-80
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$-66
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-60
Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$-43
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$-42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$-41
Will Starmer say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$-40
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.106
Sortino
0.084
HHI
2262
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.025
Kelly %
22.6%
Half-Kelly
11.3%
Top-1 market
41%
Top-5 markets
77.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
24.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.1m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 380s — normal for humanCV 4.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency2.1 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.7
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)41.4%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)33.4%
Sessions
#124/7/2026, 10:31:43 PM90 trades$13,25842 min
4/5/2026, 9:02:41 PM8 trades$3,9180 min
4/7/2026, 11:33:59 PM4 trades$3,4190 min
4/7/2026, 10:07:59 PM32 trades$3,16318 min
3/2/2026, 6:43:09 PM15 trades$2,31526 min
4/22/2026, 11:25:02 PM11 trades$1,4862 min
3/3/2026, 12:20:59 PM5 trades$1,0435 min
2/27/2026, 7:46:49 PM42 trades$94053 min
3/3/2026, 8:10:09 PM2 trades$8270 min
3/3/2026, 3:47:05 PM13 trades$82314 min
3/3/2026, 7:45:15 PM7 trades$8039 min
3/1/2026, 11:03:47 PM18 trades$7664 min
3/3/2026, 12:08:29 PM1 trades$7360 min
3/2/2026, 8:06:23 PM4 trades$7136 min
3/2/2026, 6:34:01 PM1 trades$6840 min
3/3/2026, 2:17:55 PM7 trades$6468 min
3/1/2026, 10:32:55 PM8 trades$6305 min
3/4/2026, 6:10:53 AM2 trades$6090 min
4/18/2026, 4:47:16 PM28 trades$57725 min
3/27/2026, 8:06:17 PM4 trades$5670 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
03-15
04-02
04-22
06-21
07-13
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.4 / M25.2 / H33.4