@0x9Ff9Eb…8349

#1,978,39446

0x9ff9eb6c2f2b6415d61db4f30af30abbb6192156

~18d· 52 markets · 160 tradesVol: $8,3172026-10-06 07:19:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (10/34)0/20
1.93x (win $22 / loss $11)14.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.66315/15
Sortino 6.77210/10
$+0.0014 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 1109 (34 markets)7/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 107% of peak ($11 / $11)0/10

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,008,514$-2Vol: $2,368
🎭 CULTURE#547,169$-1Vol: $2,241
📈 ECONOMICS#500,858$-1Vol: $2,014
₿ CRYPTO#1,114,008$-8Vol: $1,001
⚽ SPORTS#768,638$-0Vol: $500
💰 FINANCE#476,334$-1Vol: $194

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-14
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,317
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
79B / 81S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
10W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-14
Win Rate
29%
10W / 24L
Profit Factor
1.93x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19 (1.3967431532198373% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$9
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?$7
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$2
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$1
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$0
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$0
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?$0
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March?$0

Top Losers

Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?$-8
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$-1
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$-0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$-0
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?$-0
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$-0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.134
Sortino
0.304
HHI
661
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
8.1%
Half-Kelly
4.0%
Top-1 market
16.1%
Top-5 markets
50.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
50s
between trades
Avg Gap
33.5m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 50s — normal for humanCV 1.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.32
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)98.7%

Sessions

#12
2/22/2026, 1:31:54 PM8 trades$2,2356 min
3/3/2026, 2:15:57 PM5 trades$1,3934 min
5/27/2026, 3:24:31 PM11 trades$1,3544 min
5/27/2026, 3:39:44 PM6 trades$8533 min
3/3/2026, 2:08:19 PM3 trades$6992 min
3/3/2026, 2:29:09 PM2 trades$6940 min
5/27/2026, 2:57:16 PM7 trades$6772 min
2/22/2026, 12:58:22 PM3 trades$6151 min
2/22/2026, 2:11:28 PM1 trades$6020 min
1/14/2026, 11:59:58 AM7 trades$3686 min
1/9/2026, 8:24:26 AM7 trades$3075 min
7/28/2026, 3:29:38 PM8 trades$2462 min
7/28/2026, 3:46:05 PM9 trades$2451 min
5/27/2026, 3:51:26 PM2 trades$1760 min
1/14/2026, 11:50:16 AM3 trades$1251 min
1/9/2026, 8:02:14 AM5 trades$1102 min
8/3/2026, 12:13:17 PM8 trades$1082 min
8/3/2026, 11:41:12 AM8 trades$933 min
5/28/2026, 1:25:03 AM6 trades$700 min
8/3/2026, 12:25:50 PM4 trades$671 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-12
12-15
01-14
03-03
03-29
05-27
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.3 / M0 / H98.7