@0xB196E4…9181

#34,12771

0xb196e43905123a597cd2dd9dae97c2352a47b14b

~56d· 151 markets · 1954 tradesVol: $357,2662026-08-06 06:26:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (44/143)0.4/20
3.39x (win $21,310 / loss $6,286)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.45615/15
Sortino 43.41810/10
$+0.2514 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1131 (143 markets)6.8/10
15/34 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($1,471 / $15,024)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+3,458
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20
Whale
$59,770 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#799,865$-278Vol: $269,824
🏛️ POLITICS#17,540$1,038Vol: $41,338
💰 FINANCE#1,896$2,633Vol: $40,904
💻 TECH#4,341$173Vol: $2,600
CRYPTO#1,519,494$-161Vol: $1,874
🌤️ WEATHER#9,813$56Vol: $715
📈 ECONOMICS#274,590$0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,461
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$357,266
Total Redeem
$4
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
151
total markets
Trades
1464B / 490S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $718
Week
$397
Vol: $11,673
Month
$450
Vol: $12,835
All Time
$3,461
Vol: $357,266

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
44W / 99L events
Realized PnL
$3,458
Win Rate
31%
44W / 99L
Profit Factor
3.39x
Avg Win
$484
Avg Loss
$-65

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,973 (4.908214460249207% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$14,314
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1,901
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$759
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$747
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$684
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$539
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$385
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$373
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$353
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$278

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$-1,229
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$-600
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-413
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-288
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-222
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-198
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$-186
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-173
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$-166
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-134

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.178
Sortino
2.385
HHI
973
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.273
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28%
Top-5 markets
49.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.4m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 4.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.59
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79.2%
Mid (20-55c)7.2%
High (>55c)13.5%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 12:24:10 PM29 trades$5,2611 min
5/19/2026, 4:40:27 AM65 trades$4,7253 min
2/4/2026, 8:27:42 AM3 trades$4,1821 min
2/6/2026, 4:54:21 AM1 trades$3,9960 min
2/4/2026, 8:45:32 AM1 trades$3,9440 min
1/30/2026, 3:05:40 AM2 trades$3,8322 min
4/24/2026, 5:55:08 AM4 trades$3,0203 min
2/23/2026, 11:49:30 AM1 trades$3,0000 min
1/31/2026, 10:52:50 PM16 trades$2,44429 min
7/31/2026, 2:04:57 PM2 trades$2,3830 min
1/10/2026, 7:26:04 AM20 trades$2,06627 min
2/2/2026, 5:16:10 AM2 trades$1,6603 min
4/24/2026, 7:41:38 AM19 trades$1,5791 min
5/28/2026, 2:43:46 AM16 trades$1,5470 min
4/24/2026, 1:21:54 AM26 trades$1,5273 min
4/24/2026, 5:11:06 AM5 trades$1,4480 min
1/10/2026, 5:05:38 AM45 trades$1,40521 min
4/23/2026, 8:45:08 AM32 trades$1,3567 min
2/2/2026, 1:45:10 AM4 trades$1,3202 min
1/1/2026, 8:14:17 PM7 trades$1,2558 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-24
12-31
01-05
01-10
02-02
03-28
05-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.59/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.2 / M7.2 / H13.5