@0xD512f1…4397

#39,36448

0xd512f1092543dba882aa2c594127118a720079b3

~153d· 193 markets · 3888 tradesVol: $1,482,2262026-08-04 22:47:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (46/165)0/20
1.35x (win $29,644 / loss $21,963)6.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.20715/15
Sortino 1.88710/10
$+0.0927 per $1 invested4.6/10
HHI 613 (165 markets)9.4/10
25/83 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($11,955 / $19,609)1.8/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+2,849
Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
Whale
$82,850 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,493,653$-70Vol: $1,285,774
SPORTS#67,736$341Vol: $169,661
CRYPTO#16,677$2,624Vol: $26,646
📢 MENTIONS#148,504$-28Vol: $142
💰 FINANCE#465,727$-1Vol: $2
🎭 CULTURE#247,923$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,867
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,482,226
Total Redeem
$12
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
193
total markets
Trades
2589B / 1299S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~153d

Periods

#2
Today
$-49
Vol: $0
Week
$-97
Vol: $0
Month
$-447
Vol: $500
All Time
$2,867
Vol: $1,482,226

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
46W / 119L events
Realized PnL
$2,849
Win Rate
28%
46W / 119L
Profit Factor
1.35x
Avg Win
$644
Avg Loss
$-203

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,180 (5.328303462993773% of PnL)

Top Winners

US forces enter Iran by March 31?$6,943
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?$4,286
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$3,951
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$3,584
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$2,278
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$1,520
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$1,098
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$1,027
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?$980
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$633

Top Losers

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$-8,359
Iran leadership change by April 30?$-1,600
US forces enter Iran by March 7?$-1,551
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-1,229
US forces enter Iran by March 14?$-1,121
Iran leadership change by March 13?$-1,104
Iran leadership change by June 30?$-858
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$-685
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?$-501
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8?$-500

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.063
Sortino
0.080
HHI
540
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.096
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
42.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 231s — normal for humanCV 2.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.19
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)67%
Mid (20-55c)16.4%
High (>55c)16.6%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 9:48:49 PM33 trades$14,0001 min
4/22/2026, 1:45:10 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
3/8/2026, 11:04:23 AM18 trades$7,44817 min
7/31/2026, 7:36:33 AM9 trades$7,3480 min
7/31/2026, 7:55:02 AM4 trades$6,0510 min
6/7/2026, 7:01:52 PM15 trades$5,7970 min
6/14/2026, 9:20:34 PM33 trades$4,54612 min
3/3/2026, 10:29:55 PM1 trades$4,1590 min
4/4/2026, 5:36:57 PM65 trades$4,07111 min
7/22/2026, 1:07:25 PM6 trades$4,0681 min
2/5/2026, 6:31:21 PM5 trades$3,20012 min
3/11/2026, 2:04:01 PM5 trades$2,9713 min
7/17/2026, 10:56:28 PM8 trades$2,6472 min
6/17/2026, 5:39:35 PM9 trades$2,2210 min
4/7/2026, 10:50:27 PM14 trades$2,0820 min
7/27/2026, 11:22:07 AM16 trades$1,9250 min
4/4/2026, 5:53:07 PM7 trades$1,8722 min
3/8/2026, 10:58:39 AM6 trades$1,7800 min
3/9/2026, 9:48:19 AM35 trades$1,74422 min
7/15/2026, 12:17:44 AM2 trades$1,6670 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
02-05
03-16
03-31
04-27
06-15
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 92 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.19/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L67 / M16.4 / H16.6