@0xEfbD0D…6613

#3,163,29119

0xefbd0dcc0501eec9a212a7935d7ae31f43228086

~147d· 432 markets · 2257 tradesVol: $1,285,1022026-09-27 09:52:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (183/428)6.4/20
0.79x (win $88,079 / loss $110,906)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0020/15
Sortino -2.9390/10
$-0.1181 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 208 (428 markets)10/10
52/127 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 36244% of peak ($47,269 / $130)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
Whale
$193,346 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#1,929,228$-24,367Vol: $739,956
₿ CRYPTO#1,722,965$-10,773Vol: $346,579
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,847$-2,321Vol: $81,380
📈 ECONOMICS#695,675$-1,463Vol: $62,021
💰 FINANCE#1,568$3,226Vol: $55,165

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-35,698
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,285,102
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
432
total markets
Trades
1409B / 848S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~147d

Periods

#2
Week
$-250
Vol: $681
Month
$-833
Vol: $41,441
All Time
$-35,698
Vol: $1,285,102

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
182W / 246L events
Realized PnL
$-32,969
Win Rate
43%
182W / 246L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$481
Avg Loss
$-474

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,749 (0.6596850222221818% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12,571
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$6,473
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?$2,706
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,412
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5$1,696
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$1,620
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?$1,460
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$1,388
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?$1,271
Liverpool vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5$1,228

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-5,595
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?$-2,387
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4?$-2,093
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-2,052
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)$-2,024
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 8?$-1,958
Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-1,831
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-1,672
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-1,536
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5$-1,519

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.104
Sortino
-0.149
HHI
92
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.107
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
14.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 117s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.2%
Mid (20-55c)38.3%
High (>55c)34.5%

Sessions

#12
5/28/2026, 10:43:58 AM19 trades$17,8381 min
5/31/2026, 1:52:26 PM24 trades$4,8632 min
12/6/2025, 2:50:13 PM6 trades$4,6154 min
6/28/2026, 1:40:32 AM8 trades$4,2854 min
6/28/2026, 3:58:46 AM2 trades$3,8640 min
5/29/2026, 5:05:26 PM5 trades$3,6070 min
6/22/2026, 4:46:10 PM8 trades$3,4087 min
6/28/2026, 3:19:22 AM2 trades$3,4000 min
12/2/2025, 1:04:54 AM2 trades$3,2802 min
12/4/2025, 2:53:35 PM9 trades$2,5397 min
11/22/2025, 10:46:23 PM21 trades$2,4986 min
6/28/2026, 3:26:07 AM10 trades$2,4886 min
11/25/2025, 12:45:27 AM14 trades$2,4464 min
11/30/2025, 4:17:40 PM19 trades$2,3309 min
12/3/2025, 5:28:27 PM3 trades$2,2554 min
12/1/2025, 2:51:34 PM17 trades$2,21710 min
11/30/2025, 4:41:12 PM18 trades$2,0678 min
11/28/2025, 11:15:01 PM45 trades$2,02438 min
7/8/2026, 8:28:01 AM3 trades$2,0000 min
11/22/2025, 2:35:07 PM3 trades$1,9654 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-27
11-04
12-17
01-21
06-10
07-02
09-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 264 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.56/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.2 / M38.3 / H34.5