@0xFEce00…7660

#2,506,22071

0xfece0029948c5f59dae320b214d3f6f00a35604e

~32d· 57 markets · 253 tradesVol: $36,0432026-09-21 20:09:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (35/47)20/20
1.50x (win $55 / loss $37)8.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.08115/15
Sortino 4.76610/10
$+0.0032 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 453 (47 markets)10/10
10/17 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 112% of peak ($20 / $18)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,528,702$-102Vol: $29,874
CRYPTO#215,941$10Vol: $3,518
📈 ECONOMICS#32,611$16Vol: $1,292
💰 FINANCE#553,448$-5Vol: $676
🎭 CULTURE#139,959$1Vol: $103

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-77
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,043
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
181B / 72S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Month
$73
Vol: $10,358
All Time
$-77
Vol: $36,043

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
35W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-60
Win Rate
74%
35W / 12L
Profit Factor
1.5x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22 (0.36371237458193983% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?$9
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$7
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$6
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?$6
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$3
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?$2
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$2
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$2
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$1

Top Losers

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$-9
California redistricting referendum passes?$-8
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$-7
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-6
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$-2
US strike on Cuba by January 31?$-1
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-1
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?$-1
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?$-0
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.156
Sortino
0.186
HHI
246
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
44.5%
Half-Kelly
22.3%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
25.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.45
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 272s — normal for humanCV 0.45 — uniform order sizes20% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.15
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)92.8%

Sessions

#12
1/21/2026, 2:31:40 AM7 trades$4908 min
1/25/2026, 7:57:58 AM6 trades$4839 min
1/11/2026, 2:20:02 AM1 trades$4000 min
2/3/2026, 3:29:24 PM11 trades$39615 min
1/25/2026, 10:30:50 AM8 trades$38112 min
1/10/2026, 1:10:28 PM7 trades$3079 min
1/17/2026, 4:06:00 AM4 trades$28311 min
3/4/2026, 9:45:45 AM16 trades$25216 min
3/4/2026, 10:07:47 AM1 trades$2510 min
1/12/2026, 12:41:32 PM3 trades$24210 min
1/24/2026, 10:13:56 AM3 trades$1972 min
2/28/2026, 1:22:07 PM5 trades$1946 min
1/31/2026, 3:12:04 AM1 trades$1930 min
2/3/2026, 1:57:08 PM1 trades$1910 min
1/24/2026, 10:06:36 AM2 trades$1842 min
1/31/2026, 1:52:16 PM6 trades$1627 min
1/11/2026, 4:30:40 AM4 trades$1568 min
2/28/2026, 1:07:21 PM6 trades$1559 min
1/24/2026, 10:44:08 AM3 trades$1462 min
2/28/2026, 12:57:13 PM2 trades$1461 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-26
12-06
12-27
01-24
01-26
01-31
02-28
03-07
03-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.2 / M0 / H92.8