0xOTd

@0xOTd

#2,640,14920

0x79a899a6c52addf90a67092091e24c407355bb66

~139d· 277 markets · 3800 tradesVol: $1,412,8352026-10-06 07:35:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (121/225)11.9/20
0.62x (win $25,687 / loss $41,405)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7210/15
Sortino -2.8720/10
$-0.1043 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5267 (225 markets)0/10
55/86 profitable days (64%)8.5/10
Max DD 1335% of peak ($17,341 / $1,299)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+1,019
DCA Master
Avg 20.0 entries/market
Whale
$150,645 invested
Consistent
55/86 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#14,117$1,501Vol: $1,252,303
💰 FINANCE#657,429$-358Vol: $41,975
🎭 CULTURE#14,785$179Vol: $40,819
📈 ECONOMICS#10,280$138Vol: $29,226
🌤️ WEATHER#302,033$-739Vol: $13,561
₿ CRYPTO#1,649,678$-632Vol: $12,504
💻 TECH#260,486$-63Vol: $4,130
⚽ SPORTS#1,767,203$-169Vol: $2,705
📢 MENTIONS#13,794$23Vol: $700

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-109
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,412,835
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
277
total markets
Trades
1954B / 1846S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~139d

Periods

#2
Today
$-23
Vol: $0
Week
$174
Vol: $3,839
Month
$153
Vol: $19,637
All Time
$-109
Vol: $1,412,835

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
121W / 104L events
Realized PnL
$1,019
Win Rate
54%
121W / 104L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$212
Avg Loss
$-440

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,319 (7.185270267616972% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3,963
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$1,925
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$1,432
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1,327
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$1,082
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$959
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$930
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$898
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$776
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$742

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$-4,420
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-3,592
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$-3,576
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$-3,355
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2,761
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-1,751
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$-1,579
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$-1,456
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-1,392
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,345

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.142
Sortino
-0.099
HHI
410
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.077
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
35.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 207s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.0 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.96
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.5%
Mid (20-55c)6.8%
High (>55c)64.7%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 8:25:12 AM9 trades$400,8424 min
4/25/2026, 7:43:12 AM2 trades$50,0000 min
4/24/2026, 6:28:10 AM2 trades$25,0000 min
4/23/2026, 6:04:30 PM9 trades$23,9027 min
6/11/2026, 7:35:33 PM77 trades$7,02223 min
6/11/2026, 12:02:36 PM5 trades$6,5001 min
5/11/2026, 3:29:27 PM110 trades$5,58612 min
5/7/2026, 9:55:13 PM60 trades$5,52420 min
4/22/2026, 12:29:58 PM21 trades$3,9015 min
4/18/2026, 5:02:38 PM13 trades$3,6294 min
4/3/2026, 10:27:35 AM4 trades$3,3802 min
5/6/2026, 5:07:40 AM10 trades$3,3646 min
4/28/2026, 2:38:32 PM9 trades$3,3526 min
4/18/2026, 3:39:56 PM4 trades$2,8892 min
4/23/2026, 6:01:34 AM7 trades$2,5463 min
5/6/2026, 10:17:08 AM15 trades$2,48415 min
5/6/2026, 6:16:56 AM33 trades$2,42625 min
5/4/2026, 12:54:00 PM27 trades$2,40114 min
5/4/2026, 12:16:24 PM12 trades$2,1132 min
5/24/2026, 8:35:20 AM13 trades$2,0708 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-01
03-18
04-15
05-03
05-17
06-14
08-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 85 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.5 / M6.8 / H64.7