@ChilliWilly2k4
#3,051,68010xa0860e190692d195def746c094e3db300a420b37
~20d· 34 markets · 405 tradesVol: $183,1312026-08-23 17:10:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
31% (9/29)0.5/20
0.12x (win $4,362 / loss $37,612)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.6940/15
Sortino -6.3280/10
$-1.0853 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2723 (29 markets)0/10
4/15 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 1695% of peak ($35,335 / $2,085)0/10
Badges
1🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,581,421$-250Vol: $92,620
₿ CRYPTO#67,930$190Vol: $70,791
⚽ SPORTS#1,874,795$-2,729Vol: $16,144
🎭 CULTURE#57,182$15Vol: $3,150
💻 TECH#205,826$-2Vol: $400
💰 FINANCE#396,357$-0Vol: $2
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,791
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$183,131
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
222B / 183S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$15
Vol: $3,130
All Time
$-2,791
Vol: $183,131
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
31%
9W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-2,813
Win Rate
31%
9W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$485
Avg Loss
$-2,090
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,523 (1.2524241821051285% of PnL)
Top Winners
James Comey arrested by April 30?$1,876
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,253
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$395
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$222
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$207
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$150
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$147
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$68
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$44
Top Losers
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-25,204
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-4,912
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-2,327
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$-1,932
James Comey arrested by April 29?$-939
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-541
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$-508
James Comey arrested by May 15?$-433
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$-290
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-159
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.339
Sortino
-0.285
HHI
2904
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.810
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
47.3%
Top-5 markets
88.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.0m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — normal for humanCV 2.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.45
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22.1%
Mid (20-55c)13.1%
High (>55c)64.9%
Sessions
#126/2/2026, 3:30:07 AM2 trades$33,3330 min
4/29/2026, 11:53:50 AM40 trades$6,35833 min
7/22/2026, 12:29:01 PM18 trades$4,8220 min
7/22/2026, 12:36:22 PM12 trades$4,7560 min
5/4/2026, 7:53:46 AM77 trades$4,2558 min
5/4/2026, 8:07:42 AM8 trades$3,8215 min
7/23/2026, 2:07:49 PM13 trades$3,3020 min
4/30/2026, 7:23:50 AM25 trades$3,29219 min
7/27/2026, 11:03:51 AM6 trades$3,1951 min
5/7/2026, 12:16:21 PM7 trades$2,8942 min
5/4/2026, 8:58:48 AM3 trades$2,5022 min
4/29/2026, 12:33:02 PM15 trades$1,87913 min
5/4/2026, 10:25:26 AM1 trades$1,4720 min
7/24/2026, 6:08:06 AM4 trades$1,4670 min
5/3/2026, 5:00:40 PM1 trades$9320 min
5/4/2026, 5:32:22 AM8 trades$9004 min
5/4/2026, 5:42:48 AM2 trades$8451 min
5/5/2026, 5:29:56 AM2 trades$8000 min
5/5/2026, 12:29:30 PM2 trades$7204 min
5/18/2026, 1:29:49 PM9 trades$6592 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
05-01
05-05
05-09
05-17
06-02
06-13
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 88 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.1 / M13.1 / H64.9