@predictingrepetition
#3,083,345580xa14f4be9aea011fa8caef4cc83e78982f71f9a6e
~35d· 49 markets · 348 tradesVol: $61,1642026-10-08 02:27:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (14/37)3.9/20
1.83x (win $5,989 / loss $3,268)12.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.24215/15
Sortino 9.52010/10
$+0.3787 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1509 (37 markets)5/10
8/23 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($2,002 / $2,778)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8⚽ SPORTS#1,883,574$-1,095Vol: $36,160
₿ CRYPTO#1,511,014$-106Vol: $13,765
🏛️ POLITICS#1,566,454$-163Vol: $4,716
🌤️ WEATHER#232,246$-6Vol: $636
💻 TECH#9,422$48Vol: $321
📈 ECONOMICS#384,212$-0Vol: $202
🎭 CULTURE#511,112$-1Vol: $14
💰 FINANCE#377,147$-0Vol: $7
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,696
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$61,164
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
163B / 185S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-446
Vol: $1,092
All Time
$-1,696
Vol: $61,164
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
14W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-918
Win Rate
38%
14W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.83x
Avg Win
$428
Avg Loss
$-156
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,876 (6.399727698507787% of PnL)
Top Winners
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs$5,585
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians$146
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$144
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group$49
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$48
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$9
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$6
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$0
Top Losers
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles$-1,000
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-982
Will Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?$-482
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-201
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-200
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-92
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$-79
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets$-57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$-43
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.115
Sortino
0.439
HHI
1980
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.336
Kelly %
24.5%
Half-Kelly
12.2%
Top-1 market
27.3%
Top-5 markets
91%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 274s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.76
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)44.8%
Mid (20-55c)12.3%
High (>55c)42.9%
Sessions
#128/6/2026, 8:35:45 PM4 trades$2,1830 min
8/6/2026, 8:55:47 PM24 trades$1,9717 min
7/29/2026, 3:59:08 PM5 trades$1,8180 min
8/6/2026, 4:53:17 PM9 trades$1,7561 min
6/1/2026, 2:34:20 PM4 trades$1,3701 min
8/6/2026, 9:09:00 PM19 trades$7641 min
6/23/2026, 5:15:25 PM15 trades$7542 min
4/4/2026, 2:35:51 PM30 trades$6739 min
8/6/2026, 9:40:56 PM5 trades$6300 min
9/2/2026, 2:12:27 PM14 trades$5830 min
6/23/2026, 5:30:10 PM3 trades$5351 min
9/2/2026, 1:54:04 PM8 trades$4680 min
3/11/2026, 1:06:09 PM1 trades$3610 min
3/11/2026, 11:15:49 AM3 trades$3533 min
8/6/2026, 6:39:32 PM7 trades$3131 min
8/6/2026, 9:22:33 PM7 trades$2563 min
3/16/2026, 6:19:07 AM2 trades$2133 min
3/11/2026, 9:32:45 AM1 trades$2000 min
6/15/2026, 9:35:58 AM3 trades$2000 min
5/14/2026, 5:40:01 AM1 trades$1980 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-13
03-21
04-04
04-30
06-14
06-18
07-14
08-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 138 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.76/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.8 / M12.3 / H42.9