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@Every-Alligator

#1,15668

0xa16a1302ca05463f30faebeb5c045767fde233a1

256d· 35494 markets · 9120 tradesVol: $70,339,4742026-07-17T13:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.31x0/15
Sharpe 0.4368/15
Sortino 1337192.03410/10
HHI 11310/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Every-Alligator is an experienced and moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #1156 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 191 days, they executed 9,120 trades across 637 markets, generating a net profit of $167,792.82 on a total volume exceeding $70 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $98,077.56, supported by a good Smart Score of 68/100, indicating consistent and reliable performance.

The trader’s style reveals a preference for diverse markets, though notably excluding weather markets, and a strong inclination toward holding positions given their low sell percentage of 6%. Every-Alligator exhibits a high win rate of 74.5%, but with a relatively low profit factor of 0.31, suggesting frequent small wins rather than large payouts. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.44 and zero max drawdown duration imply a moderate risk profile with stable equity trends. The combination of manual and bot trading (Bot Score 40/100) points to a mixed timing strategy, balancing automation with discretionary decisions.

Every-Alligator’s key strengths include a disciplined approach reflected in badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands, and a solid win streak that supports consistent profitability. However, the low profit factor and flat equity trend may signal limited upside potential and an emphasis on capital preservation rather than aggressive growth. Traders following Every-Alligator on Polymarket should consider both the steadiness and the relatively conservative profit dynamics inherent in their strategy.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+167,793
Diamond Hands
6% sell
DCA Master
avg 13.4 entries/market
Win Streak
195 wins in a row
Whale
$5,465,877
Consistent
107/107 days
High Roller
$28,617/day

Categories

9
SPORTS#754$106,591Vol: $40,823,655
🎭 CULTURE#4,068$1,348Vol: $1,609,938
🌤️ WEATHER#934$1,886Vol: $1,399,015
🏛️ POLITICS#14,897$1,333Vol: $1,234,227
💰 FINANCE#296$16,908Vol: $860,090
📢 MENTIONS#1,716$679Vol: $786,355
CRYPTO#8,050$5,959Vol: $583,586
📈 ECONOMICS#9,509$144Vol: $135,511
💻 TECH#8,788$45Vol: $18,332

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$167,793
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,339,474
Total Redeem
$1,774,495
Portfolio
$98,078
Predictions
35494
total markets
Trades
8531B / 589S
Daily Volume
$28,617
Account Age
256d
since Nov 6, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$92
Vol: $131,573
Week
$1,877
Vol: $1,983,613
Month
$11,436
Vol: $9,405,479
All Time
$167,793
Vol: $70,339,474

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
222W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$143,036
Win Rate
75%
465W / 159L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$2,745
Avg Loss
$-26,116

Top Winners

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner$136,795
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C$123,940
Argentina to score first vs. England?$92,867
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Surv$66,150
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half$65,804
France to score first vs. Spain?$64,459
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$46,867
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group $44,315
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$42,666
Croatia Open: Dino Prizmic vs Alex Molcan$41,157

Top Losers

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?$-118,173
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-116,105
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider$-114,900
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major $-109,890
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$-104,783
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek$-103,904
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner$-103,594
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner$-99,900
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$-99,900
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner$-99,900

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.436
Sortino
inf
HHI
113
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.532
Kelly %
56.0%
Half-Kelly
28.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
10.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
52.5
Very active
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
15s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.9m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 15s — typical for humanSize CV 4.82 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.16 — human randomness52 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
342 entries
<=2
392 entries
<=5
453 entries
<=10
499 entries
<=20
545 entries
<=50
588 entries
>50
48 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)1.5%
High (>55c)95.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 36.9%

Miami$4,515
Paris$3,607
Up or Down$108
Munich$15
Toronto$1
Karachi$-477
Los Angeles$-6,785
Chicago$-9,960
Madrid$-203,292
Other$-2,663,876

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
440

Single bracket

<=1
337 brackets
<=2
387 brackets
<=3
417 brackets
<=4
429 brackets
<=5
434 brackets
<=8
440 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/24/2026, 4:05:40 PM2 trades$411 min
1/24/2026, 4:11:46 PM2 trades$541 min
2/12/2026, 12:05:33 AM2 trades$74 min
2/12/2026, 12:14:43 AM2 trades$24 min
2/12/2026, 11:27:05 AM1 trades$80 min
2/12/2026, 11:42:05 AM1 trades$90 min
2/12/2026, 11:49:23 AM1 trades$260 min
2/12/2026, 11:57:23 AM4 trades$291 min
2/12/2026, 12:19:23 PM2 trades$573 min
2/12/2026, 12:28:09 PM1 trades$650 min
2/12/2026, 12:39:33 PM2 trades$1814 min
2/12/2026, 12:49:07 PM1 trades$140 min
2/12/2026, 12:58:57 PM2 trades$1925 min
2/13/2026, 4:56:07 PM1 trades$4600 min
2/14/2026, 10:40:49 PM5 trades$8473 min
2/14/2026, 10:54:47 PM3 trades$150 min
2/14/2026, 11:20:59 PM1 trades$100 min
2/21/2026, 11:10:24 PM11 trades$314 min
2/21/2026, 11:23:52 PM2 trades$1,0091 min
2/21/2026, 11:41:26 PM1 trades$980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
03-08
04-11
05-09
06-05
06-25
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.3% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event