@Risto

70

0xa17325d33b095b6bb48d475a3578fecbdff73315

~248d· 411 markets · 8084 trades2026-08-02 06:40:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (206/348)14.6/20
1.58x (win $169,476 / loss $107,572)9.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.10915/15
Sortino 2.83110/10
$+0.0605 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 172 (348 markets)10/10
97/163 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 77% of peak ($49,702 / $64,820)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+14,750
DCA Master
Avg 18.7 entries/market
Whale
$1,023,893 invested
High Roller
$1,304/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14,750
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,023,893
Total Redeem
$8,699
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
411
total markets
Trades
5452B / 2632S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~248d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
206W / 142L events
Realized PnL
$14,750
Win Rate
59%
206W / 142L
Profit Factor
1.58x
Avg Win
$823
Avg Loss
$-791

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $94,551 (6.410300009017018% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$73,565
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11,800
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$9,186
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5,827
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?$4,139
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4,045
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$3,747
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3,120
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$2,924
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 6?$2,919

Top Losers

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20,461
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-18,760
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-6,837
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-6,317
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,448
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,246
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-4,296
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,123
US government shutdown Saturday?$-2,903
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?$-2,610

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.058
Sortino
0.100
HHI
104
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.084
Kelly %
9.1%
Half-Kelly
4.6%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
16.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.3m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 233s — normal for humanCV 4.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active0.5 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.68
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.9%
Mid (20-55c)22.1%
High (>55c)51%

Sessions

#12
4/15/2026, 12:21:14 PM2 trades$23,8524 min
6/29/2026, 9:12:01 PM17 trades$23,1360 min
7/3/2026, 6:03:13 PM11 trades$22,2501 min
7/3/2026, 4:56:34 AM1 trades$22,0000 min
6/21/2026, 8:59:34 PM20 trades$18,8102 min
4/9/2026, 9:11:27 PM5 trades$16,1886 min
4/12/2026, 4:37:41 AM1 trades$14,6100 min
4/7/2026, 10:30:21 PM20 trades$13,65213 min
5/4/2026, 6:48:22 PM4 trades$12,3375 min
3/5/2026, 2:03:21 PM5 trades$12,3338 min
6/28/2026, 2:40:32 AM5 trades$11,9104 min
6/28/2026, 1:07:10 PM1 trades$11,9100 min
6/21/2026, 9:34:59 PM10 trades$11,28513 min
6/19/2026, 10:28:08 PM7 trades$10,37918 min
4/13/2026, 5:45:03 PM5 trades$9,8554 min
5/6/2026, 12:15:30 PM9 trades$9,3182 min
5/2/2026, 7:47:28 PM1 trades$9,0460 min
6/11/2026, 9:24:10 PM4 trades$8,9754 min
2/2/2026, 10:22:24 AM1 trades$8,8000 min
6/23/2026, 4:21:35 AM2 trades$8,5670 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
05-16
01-27
03-07
04-08
05-20
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 78 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.9 / M22.1 / H51