@lagoness

#3,063,36327

0xa1783e4d22e10afee1b9828c1d1e73f33e2211a2

~247d· 3524 markets · 9881 tradesVol: $1,119,3422026-08-05 16:36:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (1752/3522)9.9/20
0.98x (win $188,082 / loss $191,886)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5010/15
Sortino -0.7110/10
$-0.0086 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7 (3522 markets)10/10
123/247 profitable days (50%)4.9/10
Max DD 245% of peak ($10,240 / $4,171)0/10

Badges

4
Whale
$443,881 invested
High Roller
$1,776/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,878,887$-11,627Vol: $1,111,684
CRYPTO#1,610,553$-796Vol: $6,120
🏛️ POLITICS#1,442,167$-38Vol: $1,538

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12,461
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,119,342
Total Redeem
$983
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3524
total markets
Trades
4297B / 5584S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~247d

Periods

#2
Today
$-161
Vol: $4,130
Week
$-225
Vol: $16,752
Month
$-1,325
Vol: $21,900
All Time
$-12,461
Vol: $1,119,342

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
1752W / 1770L events
Realized PnL
$-12,461
Win Rate
50%
1752W / 1770L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$107
Avg Loss
$-112

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,352 (0.2689647147568873% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,473
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$1,140
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$738
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$735
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$618
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$600
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?$583
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$546
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?$546
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$511

Top Losers

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-1,982
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-1,160
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5$-1,022
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$-1,016
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?$-1,000
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-19?$-1,000
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$-1,000
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5$-880
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5$-855
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5$-800

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.026
Sortino
-0.037
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.5
Active
Markets / Day
14.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 568s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency14 markets/day — mass coverage26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.82
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.4%
Mid (20-55c)40.2%
High (>55c)54.4%

Sessions

#12
2/22/2026, 5:54:10 PM9 trades$3,1559 min
2/15/2026, 2:08:57 PM9 trades$2,3026 min
5/10/2026, 12:42:08 AM22 trades$2,2185 min
2/20/2026, 10:16:00 PM7 trades$2,1304 min
6/29/2026, 7:09:32 PM2 trades$2,1040 min
2/21/2026, 8:28:00 PM8 trades$2,0953 min
2/18/2026, 6:41:46 PM1 trades$2,0860 min
5/7/2026, 12:33:24 AM19 trades$2,0606 min
5/9/2026, 6:57:35 PM19 trades$2,0323 min
3/2/2026, 10:54:15 PM6 trades$2,0254 min
4/21/2026, 12:53:48 PM10 trades$2,0194 min
7/4/2026, 1:11:07 PM8 trades$2,0161 min
5/18/2026, 1:20:26 AM23 trades$1,9834 min
2/18/2026, 6:22:10 PM1 trades$1,9000 min
2/26/2026, 12:58:00 AM6 trades$1,8403 min
2/22/2026, 7:09:52 PM4 trades$1,8303 min
2/18/2026, 9:32:24 PM5 trades$1,7842 min
5/17/2026, 2:43:56 AM11 trades$1,7561 min
2/22/2026, 7:44:22 PM3 trades$1,7032 min
7/4/2026, 6:17:34 PM5 trades$1,6981 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-29
01-11
02-21
04-03
05-14
06-24
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 68 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.4 / M40.2 / H54.4