@traderweather
#2,897,319240xa20c26031a0b7510c7e4959dcd6d8d2fa23c451a
~32d· 103 markets · 1655 tradesVol: $529,6902026-08-04 15:05:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
28% (26/94)0/20
1.06x (win $16,737 / loss $15,854)3.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2855.3/15
Sortino 0.4514.5/10
$+0.0082 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 936 (94 markets)7.8/10
9/23 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 148% of peak ($7,826 / $5,304)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20
Whale
$106,998 invested
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,611,173$-900Vol: $292,013
🌤️ WEATHER#299,020$-3,759Vol: $211,655
📢 MENTIONS#443$3,835Vol: $13,178
📈 ECONOMICS#674,054$-385Vol: $7,000
⚽ SPORTS#59,681$450Vol: $5,844
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-758
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$529,690
Total Redeem
$14,574
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
103
total markets
Trades
1324B / 331S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
Periods
#2Today
$871
Vol: $0
Week
$960
Vol: $0
Month
$1,916
Vol: $0
All Time
$-758
Vol: $529,690
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
28%
26W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$-1,970
Win Rate
28%
26W / 68L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$644
Avg Loss
$-233
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,640 (6.417188317061902% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8,900
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$1,920
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1,820
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?$816
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$800
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$762
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$343
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$283
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$204
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$199
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-6,296
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-2,034
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$-1,270
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-700
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-500
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?$-452
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?$-407
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?$-362
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4?$-337
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$-303
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.015
Sortino
0.020
HHI
344
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
35.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
12.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.9m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 5.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.47
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)76.2%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)16.1%
Sessions
#123/29/2026, 6:13:38 PM3 trades$11,1510 min
4/3/2026, 7:29:15 AM22 trades$10,4880 min
5/29/2026, 4:09:36 PM5 trades$10,0000 min
5/29/2026, 6:42:19 PM26 trades$8,62112 min
3/23/2026, 12:39:45 AM1 trades$6,7060 min
3/27/2026, 5:25:45 PM6 trades$6,25914 min
7/15/2026, 10:52:26 AM4 trades$5,5430 min
7/26/2026, 6:21:40 AM5 trades$5,0000 min
7/19/2026, 4:59:49 PM17 trades$4,9350 min
4/7/2026, 9:17:25 PM11 trades$4,4916 min
3/23/2026, 1:44:11 AM2 trades$3,7880 min
4/1/2026, 10:04:51 PM14 trades$3,53012 min
3/28/2026, 5:37:13 AM1 trades$3,3600 min
6/7/2026, 8:41:51 PM24 trades$3,2566 min
7/7/2026, 11:47:08 AM12 trades$3,2470 min
4/2/2026, 9:29:39 PM1 trades$3,2000 min
7/28/2026, 3:01:07 PM1 trades$3,0800 min
3/29/2026, 4:59:38 PM4 trades$2,7602 min
4/3/2026, 4:03:57 PM33 trades$2,49512 min
5/29/2026, 5:51:52 PM11 trades$2,4000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
03-31
04-03
05-07
05-11
06-04
06-07
06-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 21 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
54% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.47/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.2 / M7.7 / H16.1