RobinKroos

@RobinKroos

#196,3942

0xa235c087a853ff8096db4be7667bf6a66e3cf6ef

~14d· 13 markets · 50 tradesVol: $5,6822026-08-26 09:14:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (1/13)0/20
0.98x (win $295 / loss $301)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0990/15
Sortino -0.2970/10
$-0.0172 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3948 (13 markets)0/10
1/12 profitable days (8%)0/10
Max DD 104% of peak ($151 / $145)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+78
Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
📈 ECONOMICS#6,667$293Vol: $3,761
SPORTS#1,671,688$-88Vol: $1,742
🏛️ POLITICS#1,474,323$-50Vol: $179

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$155
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,682
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
15B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$79
Vol: $0
Week
$77
Vol: $245
Month
$65
Vol: $2,152
All Time
$155
Vol: $5,682

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
1W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$78
Win Rate
8%
1W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$295
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $295 (3.809106152457113% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?$295

Top Losers

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?$-50
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?$-50
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-40
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?$-36
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$-20
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?$-20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-20
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?$-20
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-20
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.005
Sortino
-0.032
HHI
1834
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.4%
Top-5 markets
82%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
9s
between trades
Night Trading
72%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4s — normal for humanCV 0.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)72% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.15
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)66.7%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)13.3%

Sessions

#12
8/10/2026, 5:05:22 AM17 trades$1,9070 min
3/13/2026, 7:10:13 AM1 trades$3450 min
6/7/2026, 12:42:55 AM4 trades$2580 min
7/29/2026, 6:17:09 AM10 trades$2290 min
7/7/2026, 12:59:07 AM4 trades$1090 min
5/3/2026, 2:05:22 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/27/2026, 3:10:20 AM2 trades$910 min
6/17/2026, 9:41:28 PM2 trades$710 min
4/8/2025, 12:36:25 AM1 trades$500 min
1/23/2026, 12:02:24 PM1 trades$500 min
2/25/2026, 12:35:22 AM1 trades$500 min
12/13/2024, 2:45:25 AM2 trades$400 min
7/12/2026, 3:24:47 AM2 trades$320 min
4/15/2025, 4:40:19 AM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
04-15
03-13
06-07
06-27
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 150 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.15/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L66.7 / M20 / H13.3