@caspar1248
#3,066,165110xa278b41b5afda5d18da683eb7f851a7b2dc13369
~32d· 497 markets · 5818 tradesVol: $2,181,7022026-08-02 07:38:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
30% (145/489)0/20
0.70x (win $44,760 / loss $63,972)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5240/15
Sortino -5.9520/10
$-0.1430 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 185 (489 markets)10/10
10/29 profitable days (34%)1.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($19,412 / $0)0/10
Badges
5Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
Whale
$134,386 invested
High Roller
$3,632/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
2⚽ SPORTS#1,880,307$-30,763Vol: $2,170,354
🌤️ WEATHER#209,441$-2Vol: $100
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-30,765
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,181,702
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
497
total markets
Trades
2551B / 3267S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
Periods
#2Week
$-43
Vol: $0
Month
$-9
Vol: $419
All Time
$-30,765
Vol: $2,181,702
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
30%
145W / 344L events
Realized PnL
$-30,765
Win Rate
30%
145W / 344L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$309
Avg Loss
$-197
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,427 (0.5664461135807219% of PnL)
Top Winners
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?$10,144
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$3,853
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$3,429
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$3,116
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$2,586
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?$2,144
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$1,935
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?$1,270
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$831
Argentina leading at halftime?$802
Top Losers
Croatia to score first vs. Portugal?$-7,169
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$-4,489
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 2.5$-3,266
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?$-3,000
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5$-2,980
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5$-2,392
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Colombia?$-2,114
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5$-1,667
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?$-1,630
Brazil leading at halftime?$-1,624
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.233
Sortino
-0.343
HHI
465
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.152
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19%
Top-5 markets
32.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
157.2
Very active
Markets / Day
13.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.5m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
19 min
Avg Trades / Session
57.4
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 3.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock157 trades/day — automation13 markets/day — mass coverage44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.58
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)37.6%
Mid (20-55c)32.9%
High (>55c)29.5%
Sessions
#127/7/2026, 7:49:49 PM31 trades$15,0001 min
7/2/2026, 6:12:01 PM46 trades$13,8955 min
7/19/2026, 6:13:43 PM82 trades$12,92623 min
7/7/2026, 7:55:53 PM170 trades$11,32644 min
7/9/2026, 9:25:14 PM114 trades$11,03633 min
7/19/2026, 7:00:58 PM133 trades$10,78734 min
7/18/2026, 7:07:40 PM2 trades$10,0010 min
6/28/2026, 1:51:58 AM403 trades$7,669120 min
7/11/2026, 9:00:40 PM96 trades$7,47932 min
7/5/2026, 7:55:17 PM69 trades$7,32425 min
7/15/2026, 7:00:49 PM54 trades$6,59130 min
7/9/2026, 8:00:46 PM210 trades$5,51124 min
7/9/2026, 7:01:05 PM6 trades$5,4634 min
7/2/2026, 12:15:31 PM2 trades$5,3760 min
7/11/2026, 9:57:46 PM54 trades$5,07622 min
7/11/2026, 12:33:41 PM2 trades$5,0010 min
6/27/2026, 11:28:23 PM310 trades$4,947101 min
7/3/2026, 6:01:16 PM59 trades$4,87520 min
7/6/2026, 5:18:01 PM16 trades$4,8040 min
7/19/2026, 5:34:55 PM77 trades$4,76932 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-26
06-30
07-04
07-08
07-12
07-18
07-23
08-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.58/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.6 / M32.9 / H29.5