@mrdonaldo
#2,863,669120xa284880f7c037d6458a2f0d1ca04074718b1fbba
~78d· 528 markets · 1209 tradesVol: $331,6482026-08-01 13:39:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
12% (60/494)0/20
0.87x (win $3,445 / loss $3,947)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1010/15
Sortino -1.5510/10
$-0.0559 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 306 (494 markets)10/10
17/52 profitable days (33%)0.7/10
Max DD 2364583% of peak ($1,419 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🎭 CULTURE#808,339$-798Vol: $152,205
🏛️ POLITICS#63,415$102Vol: $97,887
🌤️ WEATHER#273,779$-44Vol: $26,225
⚽ SPORTS#1,634,752$-70Vol: $14,543
₿ CRYPTO#1,462,383$-99Vol: $12,227
💰 FINANCE#7,009$491Vol: $11,028
📢 MENTIONS#146,121$-25Vol: $8,330
📈 ECONOMICS#653,081$-71Vol: $7,779
💻 TECH#244,229$-56Vol: $1,419
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-575
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$331,648
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
528
total markets
Trades
726B / 483S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $68
Week
$539
Vol: $6,191
Month
$1
Vol: $68
All Time
$-575
Vol: $331,648
PnL Analysis
#3Win Rate (events)
12%
60W / 434L events
Realized PnL
$-575
Win Rate
12%
60W / 434L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$57
Avg Loss
$-9
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,248 (2.170731707317073% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$569
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$374
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?$304
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 24?$211
Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?$207
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$207
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$168
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?$144
Will Hamnet win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$101
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$88
Top Losers
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$-319
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-252
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$-142
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$-123
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-93
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-92
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-85
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$-61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$-53
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?$-50
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.057
Sortino
-0.080
HHI
153
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.080
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
19%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 2.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal2.6 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.13
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)75.8%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)17.5%
Sessions
#127/31/2026, 3:45:29 PM38 trades$2,0220 min
6/6/2026, 4:54:45 PM70 trades$1,6436 min
6/8/2026, 1:43:16 AM45 trades$1,4520 min
7/26/2026, 5:29:58 AM28 trades$1,3730 min
2/25/2026, 2:02:06 PM2 trades$9644 min
6/28/2026, 3:51:47 PM26 trades$8070 min
5/17/2026, 9:46:25 PM22 trades$8073 min
3/1/2026, 3:46:43 AM67 trades$65312 min
5/10/2026, 3:52:37 PM26 trades$5160 min
2/24/2026, 11:59:54 PM2 trades$5010 min
5/16/2026, 4:38:51 AM17 trades$5003 min
2/24/2026, 1:03:16 PM1 trades$4500 min
5/18/2026, 7:30:03 PM9 trades$4130 min
6/14/2026, 4:07:04 PM9 trades$3521 min
2/28/2026, 6:08:31 AM58 trades$28512 min
2/20/2026, 4:36:54 PM1 trades$2760 min
5/10/2026, 1:35:53 AM49 trades$24112 min
2/2/2026, 5:03:20 AM3 trades$2197 min
5/21/2026, 4:28:16 AM9 trades$2050 min
2/25/2026, 2:30:04 AM4 trades$1720 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-07
02-21
03-01
03-11
05-02
05-18
06-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 54 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.13/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L75.8 / M6.7 / H17.5