@ratehikes

#3,069,0911

0xa309f903dbbd559e87d8d368834b8e41355c4cf2

~52d· 22 markets · 2254 tradesVol: $1,218,1852026-08-02 06:36:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (1/7)0/20
0.00x (win $228 / loss $188,161)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.6408 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6639 (7 markets)0/10
1/3 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 82570% of peak ($188,161 / $228)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
76% entries < $0.55
Whale
$293,279 invested
High Roller
$3,295/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
📈 ECONOMICS#682,298$-66,229Vol: $1,213,595
CRYPTO#85,386$114Vol: $1,898

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-66,115
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,218,185
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
747B / 1507S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Today
$-113
Vol: $0
Week
$-130,461
Vol: $0
Month
$1,875
Vol: $0
All Time
$-66,115
Vol: $1,218,185

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
1W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-66,115
Win Rate
14%
1W / 6L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$228
Avg Loss
$-31,360

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $228 (0.003446719536129752% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?$228

Top Losers

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-161,481
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-17,574
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$-8,649
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-431
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.670
Sortino
-0.583
HHI
1725
Moderate
EV per $1
$-1.331
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.3%
Top-5 markets
47.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 229s — normal for humanCV 3.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency0.2 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
185.43
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.2%
Mid (20-55c)46.7%
High (>55c)24.1%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 1:42:44 AM137 trades$51,58719 min
6/22/2026, 4:44:52 AM74 trades$50,8113 min
6/24/2026, 3:36:29 PM12 trades$38,2595 min
6/25/2026, 2:49:35 PM58 trades$35,86426 min
5/4/2026, 5:36:12 PM45 trades$33,1953 min
6/29/2026, 6:13:11 PM65 trades$31,19214 min
6/7/2026, 10:00:27 PM51 trades$28,9180 min
6/18/2026, 6:53:38 AM33 trades$26,2310 min
6/22/2026, 6:46:47 AM16 trades$22,8990 min
6/24/2026, 5:38:53 PM41 trades$22,60412 min
6/25/2026, 6:41:58 PM4 trades$19,2780 min
6/17/2026, 8:22:28 PM40 trades$18,3130 min
6/18/2026, 2:15:52 AM71 trades$15,8924 min
5/21/2026, 4:06:12 PM13 trades$13,6350 min
6/23/2026, 1:46:44 PM9 trades$13,2041 min
6/26/2026, 3:21:41 AM33 trades$12,7931 min
6/17/2026, 1:42:13 AM2 trades$11,9380 min
6/22/2026, 1:03:28 AM3 trades$11,7140 min
6/16/2026, 6:13:29 PM14 trades$11,6760 min
6/25/2026, 7:47:43 PM12 trades$11,6360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-07
07-20
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 185.43/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.2 / M46.7 / H24.1