@SAPolitcsSeer
#2,767910xa30e451354cb41cfd46689a065defed989ea49d5
~55d· 64 markets · 2623 tradesVol: $2,369,2752026-08-02 04:04:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
86% (43/50)20/20
4.63x (win $77,749 / loss $16,797)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.65115/15
Sortino 22.95910/10
$+0.0259 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 582 (50 markets)9.6/10
24/29 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($10,849 / $60,951)10/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+66,128
DCA Master
Avg 36.7 entries/market
Whale
$2,356,052 invested
Consistent
24/29 profitable days
High Roller
$18,407/day
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#838$60,738Vol: $2,170,857
📈 ECONOMICS#1,183$4,255Vol: $160,162
⚽ SPORTS#38,342$990Vol: $30,000
Overview
#1Net PnL
$66,128
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,369,275
Total Redeem
$293,055
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
64
total markets
Trades
905B / 1718S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d
Periods
#2Today
$20
Vol: $0
Week
$5,552
Vol: $0
Month
$-115
Vol: $138
All Time
$66,128
Vol: $2,369,275
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
86%
43W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$66,128
Win Rate
86%
43W / 7L
Profit Factor
4.63x
Avg Win
$1,808
Avg Loss
$-3,359
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $45,390 (0.6863949895785083% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$27,079
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$13,719
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4,593
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$4,467
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,473
Netanyahu out by April 30?$2,500
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$2,030
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,980
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1,869
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$1,561
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-7,916
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-4,082
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$-3,063
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,660
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-76
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.342
Sortino
0.821
HHI
416
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
61.1%
Half-Kelly
30.6%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
37.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
20.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
40.8
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 188s — normal for humanCV 3.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency0.5 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
36.7
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)94.3%
Sessions
#124/5/2026, 5:41:57 PM151 trades$336,15711 min
6/6/2026, 4:21:42 PM123 trades$255,47515 min
3/27/2026, 7:27:09 PM10 trades$226,4498 min
4/16/2026, 5:50:54 PM54 trades$134,4396 min
5/12/2026, 6:12:11 PM75 trades$133,1093 min
4/7/2026, 12:06:55 AM3 trades$100,5000 min
5/18/2026, 3:13:07 PM94 trades$89,07514 min
7/18/2026, 2:39:01 AM51 trades$86,86010 min
6/3/2026, 6:07:48 AM55 trades$84,5725 min
6/3/2026, 4:58:15 AM55 trades$76,0737 min
4/8/2026, 7:34:25 PM27 trades$74,9374 min
5/11/2026, 12:53:56 AM84 trades$73,2113 min
6/11/2026, 4:19:36 PM4 trades$64,0641 min
5/19/2026, 3:34:08 AM68 trades$55,1216 min
6/20/2026, 7:41:19 PM22 trades$54,54713 min
3/28/2026, 10:10:32 PM14 trades$53,3045 min
4/19/2026, 11:30:54 PM7 trades$48,9551 min
4/5/2026, 6:19:35 PM53 trades$47,3769 min
5/14/2026, 6:09:08 PM312 trades$47,3595 min
4/8/2026, 7:44:23 PM13 trades$47,0184 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-28
04-05
04-12
05-12
05-21
06-03
06-20
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 36.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.7 / M0 / H94.3