@alpha-bonds
#12,519350xa317957824e0d37780973afb4aac3f5fa2f1344d
~21d· 53 markets · 336 tradesVol: $134,3862026-08-05 00:40:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
73% (38/52)20/20
0.32x (win $3,520 / loss $11,033)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.6060/15
Sortino -7.7170/10
$-0.3965 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 707 (52 markets)9/10
11/20 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 882% of peak ($8,474 / $961)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+11,884
DCA Master
Avg 6.8 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#4,649$11,915Vol: $131,378
🌤️ WEATHER#282,337$-80Vol: $1,445
🏛️ POLITICS#116,331$28Vol: $906
💰 FINANCE#41,346$19Vol: $507
🎭 CULTURE#157,508$1Vol: $148
Overview
#1Net PnL
$11,884
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$134,386
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
91B / 245S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d
Periods
#2Today
$37
Vol: $0
Week
$-37
Vol: $0
Month
$-24
Vol: $0
All Time
$11,884
Vol: $134,386
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
75%
39W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$11,884
Win Rate
75%
39W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$93
Avg Loss
$-1,103
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,450 (0.20612824152808015% of PnL)
Top Winners
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria Sakkari$1,137
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedev$884
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Qinwen Zheng$429
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra Eala$411
World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?$115
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?$105
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$89
World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken?$70
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?$45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?$42
Top Losers
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert$-2,394
Livesport Prague Open: Diane Parry vs Mai Hontama$-2,110
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot$-1,624
Generali Open: Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick Hanfmann$-1,534
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ugo Humbert vs Mattia Bellucci$-784
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa$-677
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Eala$-672
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka$-535
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?$-500
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?$-203
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.388
Sortino
-0.520
HHI
797
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.334
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.3%
Top-5 markets
48.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1885s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.83
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)91.2%
Sessions
#127/20/2026, 8:36:06 AM18 trades$6,4170 min
6/27/2026, 5:52:56 PM5 trades$3,2780 min
7/19/2026, 9:28:43 AM2 trades$2,7000 min
7/20/2026, 11:35:31 AM5 trades$2,0200 min
7/17/2026, 9:05:21 AM4 trades$1,8880 min
6/27/2026, 7:39:55 AM4 trades$1,6630 min
7/21/2026, 9:15:01 AM13 trades$1,6060 min
7/19/2026, 4:42:27 PM3 trades$1,3530 min
7/16/2026, 4:13:16 PM14 trades$1,1410 min
6/17/2026, 7:20:10 PM2 trades$1,1280 min
6/24/2026, 1:35:43 PM12 trades$9350 min
6/23/2026, 6:26:11 PM5 trades$8930 min
6/19/2026, 3:33:19 PM5 trades$8120 min
6/20/2026, 4:15:55 PM8 trades$7680 min
6/17/2026, 5:00:53 AM4 trades$7230 min
6/19/2026, 10:08:53 PM2 trades$7000 min
6/12/2026, 10:43:16 PM20 trades$5773 min
6/17/2026, 5:21:02 PM5 trades$5650 min
6/16/2026, 9:00:25 PM23 trades$5244 min
6/18/2026, 2:13:22 PM5 trades$5220 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-12
06-15
06-18
06-23
07-16
07-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
16% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M7.7 / H91.2