@YesNoMeybe

#119,05330

0xa323eeafb06792b39bd35d106bf0ebe55edbe0ee

~83d· 108 markets · 1343 tradesVol: $285,5492026-10-05 11:25:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (45/100)7.5/20
1.04x (win $10,601 / loss $10,200)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2725.1/15
Sortino 0.3743.7/10
$+0.0082 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 985 (100 markets)7.6/10
24/58 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 98% of peak ($2,926 / $2,994)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+451
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.6 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#9,648$364Vol: $115,614
₿ CRYPTO#40,779$504Vol: $84,370
🏛️ POLITICS#97,569$43Vol: $52,230
⚽ SPORTS#1,752,529$-144Vol: $29,581
💻 TECH#269,823$-320Vol: $846
💰 FINANCE#562,328$-7Vol: $260
📈 ECONOMICS#45,880$9Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$451
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$285,549
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
108
total markets
Trades
786B / 557S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d

Periods

#2
Today
$10
Vol: $0
Week
$211
Vol: $1,901
Month
$211
Vol: $1,901
All Time
$451
Vol: $285,549

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
45W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$451
Win Rate
45%
45W / 55L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$236
Avg Loss
$-192

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,818 (8.473764815554668% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1,496
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1,250
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$1,071
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1,070
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$590
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$463
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$432
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$426
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$421
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$416

Top Losers

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$-1,618
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-1,335
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$-1,061
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-560
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? $-451
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-398
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-359
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-320
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?$-311
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-306

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.014
Sortino
0.017
HHI
1634
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.4%
Top-5 markets
62.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 202s — normal for humanCV 3.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.57
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.4%
Mid (20-55c)26.6%
High (>55c)30%

Sessions

#12
4/10/2026, 11:37:53 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
4/4/2026, 4:59:37 PM11 trades$6,4826 min
4/4/2026, 11:09:47 PM3 trades$6,1081 min
4/8/2026, 11:37:57 AM2 trades$4,0000 min
4/4/2026, 7:58:17 PM2 trades$2,1870 min
4/4/2026, 5:34:39 PM5 trades$2,1872 min
4/4/2026, 7:30:47 PM1 trades$2,1870 min
4/4/2026, 4:48:19 PM1 trades$2,1610 min
4/4/2026, 5:21:05 PM1 trades$2,1610 min
4/8/2026, 6:41:29 PM14 trades$2,0610 min
3/30/2026, 9:07:30 AM5 trades$1,6986 min
4/4/2026, 1:31:19 PM17 trades$1,65516 min
3/23/2026, 12:16:03 PM8 trades$1,45610 min
3/26/2026, 4:49:01 PM2 trades$1,2923 min
11/20/2025, 10:55:53 PM1 trades$1,2750 min
3/24/2026, 3:00:57 PM1 trades$1,2540 min
3/24/2026, 3:22:29 PM1 trades$1,2400 min
10/29/2025, 8:06:19 AM3 trades$1,2265 min
11/28/2025, 9:57:37 PM1 trades$1,2020 min
11/24/2025, 7:08:19 PM1 trades$1,0600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-24
11-24
03-23
04-08
04-27
05-07
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.4 / M26.6 / H30