muchlov

@muchlov

#4,68880

0xa43da0aab839cf651a70e0e310462bb53a3b00f4

~77d· 189 markets · 2541 tradesVol: $972,6362026-08-05 15:50:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (76/170)7.4/20
2.69x (win $287,613 / loss $106,865)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.03415/15
Sortino 22.55410/10
$+0.5071 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 671 (170 markets)9.1/10
20/47 profitable days (43%)3.1/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($18,846 / $199,593)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+36,250
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
Whale
$356,404 invested
High Roller
$2,680/day
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,964$22,997Vol: $720,102
SPORTS#1,866,375$-3,277Vol: $61,929
💰 FINANCE#14,901$145Vol: $61,300
CRYPTO#3,158$14,902Vol: $52,970
📈 ECONOMICS#4,616$518Vol: $45,085
🎭 CULTURE#817,290$-3,498Vol: $15,218
📢 MENTIONS#369$4,665Vol: $11,154
🌤️ WEATHER#7,281$95Vol: $4,879

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$36,547
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$972,636
Total Redeem
$6,530
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
189
total markets
Trades
1695B / 846S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d

Periods

#2
Today
$264
Vol: $1,457
Week
$146
Vol: $7,306
Month
$338
Vol: $9,306
All Time
$36,547
Vol: $972,636

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
76W / 94L events
Realized PnL
$36,250
Win Rate
45%
76W / 94L
Profit Factor
2.69x
Avg Win
$3,784
Avg Loss
$-1,174

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $177,805 (4.90493815342761% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$91,790
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$44,469
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$41,546
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$18,877
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$16,909
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$11,122
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$9,603
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$6,198
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$4,664
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$3,465

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-23,182
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-10,300
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$-4,829
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-4,783
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$-4,635
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$-4,629
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$-3,812
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$-3,684
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-3,477
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-3,040

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.209
Sortino
1.025
HHI
1368
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.377
Kelly %
15.4%
Half-Kelly
7.7%
Top-1 market
25.4%
Top-5 markets
71.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.8m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 87s — normal for humanCV 3.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.38
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.7%
Mid (20-55c)33.9%
High (>55c)46.4%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 2:03:11 PM38 trades$24,20312 min
6/8/2026, 3:12:18 AM13 trades$18,2187 min
6/15/2026, 2:27:09 PM6 trades$15,0950 min
5/20/2026, 12:30:03 AM14 trades$14,0254 min
7/6/2026, 8:47:04 PM113 trades$13,68413 min
6/8/2026, 1:32:28 AM29 trades$13,58619 min
6/1/2026, 5:15:40 PM2 trades$11,5780 min
6/2/2026, 3:57:34 AM51 trades$10,29531 min
6/14/2026, 11:19:48 PM2 trades$9,3810 min
6/8/2026, 5:58:07 AM2 trades$8,0000 min
6/6/2026, 12:04:10 AM6 trades$7,3930 min
6/3/2026, 10:17:24 PM8 trades$7,0762 min
6/12/2026, 6:17:36 AM20 trades$7,0087 min
6/13/2026, 4:51:34 PM24 trades$6,75511 min
6/8/2026, 9:13:31 PM7 trades$6,5790 min
6/1/2026, 12:29:53 PM2 trades$6,4770 min
6/6/2026, 12:13:10 AM19 trades$5,9025 min
6/3/2026, 4:04:49 PM33 trades$5,67420 min
5/28/2026, 5:29:09 AM27 trades$5,6178 min
5/8/2026, 9:26:22 PM31 trades$5,47920 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-01
04-09
05-16
05-28
06-08
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.7 / M33.9 / H46.4