Polydata
Queasy-Cougar

@Queasy-Cougar

#1,25592

0xa4b366ad22fc0d06f1e934ff468e8922431a87b8

593d· 3472 markets · 11772 tradesVol: $19,242,139 @holy_moses72026-07-20T15:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 89%20/20
Profit Factor 11.22x15/15
Sharpe 0.3897/15
Sortino 30.07010/10
EV $+3.39910/10
HHI 47910/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Queasy-Cougar is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1255 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 753 days, they have executed 11,772 trades across 237 markets, achieving a net profit of $155,826.49 with a portfolio currently valued at $197,565.36. Their trading volume exceeds $19 million, and their Smart Score of 92/100 places them in the elite category among Polymarket participants.

The trader’s style reflects a contrarian approach, indicated by a relatively low win rate of 25.3% but a portfolio that remains stable over time. Queasy-Cougar appears to favor a diverse range of markets, avoiding weather-related ones entirely, and exhibits a moderate sell percentage of 35%. Their semi-automated bot score of 40/100 suggests a blend of manual and algorithmic decision-making. The flat equity trend and minimal drawdown duration point to a conservative risk profile, though the profit factor of 0.10 and Sharpe ratio of 0.39 indicate modest risk-adjusted returns.

Queasy-Cougar’s strengths lie in consistency and volume, supported by elite-level strategic execution on Polymarket. However, the low profit factor and win rate may raise concerns about long-term scalability and efficiency. The semi-bot trading style could offer flexibility but also introduce variability in performance. Overall, Queasy-Cougar demonstrates disciplined trading with cautious risk management, balanced by the challenges of converting high activity into proportionally higher profits.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+155,826
Lottery Player
54% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
66% entries <$0.50
Whale
$1,214,590
Consistent
106/108 days
High Roller
$1,613/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#576$87,951Vol: $12,674,310
🎭 CULTURE#315$24,391Vol: $3,846,443
📈 ECONOMICS#223$30,805Vol: $1,182,911
₿ CRYPTO#12,552$3,664Vol: $378,351
💰 FINANCE#1,663$3,000Vol: $265,697
💻 TECH#1,258$1,124Vol: $259,962
⚽ SPORTS#56,754$494Vol: $240,536
🌤️ WEATHER#3,748$297Vol: $38,590
📢 MENTIONS#3,088$305Vol: $26,179

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$155,826
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,242,139
Total Redeem
$1,869
Portfolio
$197,565
Predictions
3472
total markets
Trades
7677B / 4095S
Daily Volume
$1,613
Account Age
593d
since Dec 4, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$159
Vol: $15,183
Week
$159
Vol: $72,300
Month
$3,025
Vol: $605,663
All Time
$155,826
Vol: $19,242,139

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
199W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$658,967
Win Rate
25%
42W / 124L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$2,284
Avg Loss
$-7,814

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9,$47,935
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026$17,254
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5,226
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$3,382
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on $2,638
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026$2,330
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1,881
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Septembe$1,673
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–J$1,394
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect$1,290

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-180,675
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parl$-89,044
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-80,272
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2$-78,908
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2$-59,894
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?$-53,316
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeti$-43,985
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-25,174
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$-22,206
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on $-20,090

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.389
Sortino
30.070
HHI
479
Diversified
EV per $1
$3.399
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.9%
Top-5 markets
40.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
41.8m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
14.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — typical for humanSize CV 14.96 — diverse, typical for human11% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.23 — human randomness20 trades/day — suspiciously high340 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
33.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
30 entries
<=2
57 entries
<=5
85 entries
<=10
117 entries
<=20
153 entries
<=50
199 entries
>50
31 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.9%
Mid (20-55c)13.5%
High (>55c)32.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 37.8%

Los Angeles$2
Netanyahu$0
London$-247
New York City$-23,951
Other$-848,803

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
138

Single bracket

<=1
106 brackets
<=2
118 brackets
<=3
125 brackets
<=4
128 brackets
<=5
133 brackets
<=8
135 brackets
>8
3 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/22/2024, 9:05:20 PM1 trades$130 min
12/22/2024, 10:23:16 PM1 trades$810 min
1/7/2025, 9:18:58 PM1 trades$340 min
1/30/2025, 11:27:28 PM1 trades$6200 min
2/3/2025, 10:19:08 PM1 trades$40 min
2/4/2025, 5:09:43 PM1 trades$1310 min
2/5/2025, 7:32:50 PM1 trades$180 min
2/6/2025, 12:26:42 AM1 trades$350 min
2/6/2025, 2:28:41 AM1 trades$310 min
2/7/2025, 12:04:55 AM1 trades$30 min
2/7/2025, 12:12:17 AM1 trades$30 min
2/7/2025, 2:39:26 AM1 trades$60 min
2/7/2025, 8:06:35 AM1 trades$260 min
2/7/2025, 11:16:50 AM1 trades$930 min
2/9/2025, 5:06:12 PM1 trades$1380 min
2/9/2025, 7:05:16 PM1 trades$370 min
2/10/2025, 3:15:56 PM3 trades$150 min
2/11/2025, 10:27:46 AM1 trades$1280 min
2/11/2025, 10:08:05 PM4 trades$1052 min
2/11/2025, 10:30:51 PM2 trades$930 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
05-09
08-10
10-28
01-18
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 33.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event