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Fussy-Dad

@Fussy-Dad

#1,289100

0xa59c570a9eca148da55f6e1f47a538c0c600bb62

611d· 2445 markets · 13837 tradesVol: $22,125,109 @ThePrexpect2026-07-18T14:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 84%20/20
Profit Factor 51.77x15/15
Sharpe 1.39715/15
Sortino 52.03210/10
EV $+33.13010/10
HHI 10310/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Fussy-Dad is an experienced and highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1289 on the global PnL leaderboard. With a net profit of $150,148.83 over 769 days and a total trading volume exceeding $22 million, Fussy-Dad has executed nearly 14,000 trades across 325 markets. The trader holds an elite Smart Score of 100/100, reflecting consistent performance, and maintains a stable portfolio value around $23,000. Despite a moderate profit factor of 0.28, Fussy-Dad's Sharpe ratio of 1.40 indicates a balanced risk-adjusted return.

Fussy-Dad’s trading style is marked by a diversified market approach without exposure to weather markets and a strong contrarian tilt. The trader shows a preference for frequent trades with a 61.2% win rate and a 38% sell percentage, suggesting a mix of quick exits and holding positions. The bot score of 45/100 implies a hybrid strategy combining manual decisions with automated inputs. Fussy-Dad’s badges such as Sniper and DCA Master highlight precision and disciplined averaging down, while the Lottery Player badge hints at occasional high-risk, high-reward bets.

Key strengths for Fussy-Dad include a high Smart Score and a zero-day max drawdown duration, indicating strong risk management and resilience. However, the relatively low profit factor and flat equity trend suggest limited upside momentum, and the semi-bot approach may introduce execution risks. Overall, Fussy-Dad’s steady performance and diversified tactics make them a notable participant in Polymarket’s ecosystem, though monitoring for potential risk exposure remains prudent.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+150,149
Lottery Player
31% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
50% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 28.7 entries/market
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
Whale
$2,843,530
Consistent
124/127 days
High Roller
$3,698/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#34$134,421Vol: $19,745,946
🏛️ POLITICS#3,037$13,136Vol: $1,791,989
CRYPTO#1,425,399$-83Vol: $274,331
💻 TECH#800$2,041Vol: $183,408
SPORTS#82,190$228Vol: $18,037
💰 FINANCE#621,595$-94Vol: $17,057
📈 ECONOMICS#657,033$-175Vol: $16,313
📢 MENTIONS#131,717$-14Vol: $1,601

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$150,149
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,125,109
Total Redeem
$895,633
Portfolio
$23,122
Predictions
2445
total markets
Trades
8510B / 5327S
Daily Volume
$3,698
Account Age
611d
since Nov 17, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$167
Vol: $4,256
Week
$4
Vol: $36,352
Month
$-241
Vol: $36,352
All Time
$150,149
Vol: $22,125,109

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
137W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$963,660
Win Rate
61%
158W / 100L
Profit Factor
0.28x
Avg Win
$2,624
Avg Loss
$-14,786

Top Winners

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination$254,600
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 202$12,934
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 202$10,321
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026$10,310
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5$9,547
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?$8,365
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$8,096
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$7,997
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?$7,760
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$7,493

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 202$-55,147
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 2$-53,935
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3,$-52,905
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2$-49,633
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 202$-47,889
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026$-46,611
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026$-46,544
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 1$-43,952
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27,$-41,511
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2$-40,970

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.397
Sortino
52.032
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$33.130
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
9.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.4m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — typical for humanSize CV 5.48 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness31 trades/day — suspiciously high308 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
33 entries
<=2
50 entries
<=5
76 entries
<=10
116 entries
<=20
160 entries
<=50
241 entries
>50
56 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.3%
Mid (20-55c)20.6%
High (>55c)48.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 81.6%

Up or Down$-2,120
Other$-1,061,922

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.4
Events covered
133

Moderate coverage

<=1
58 brackets
<=2
105 brackets
<=3
114 brackets
<=4
118 brackets
<=5
120 brackets
<=8
127 brackets
>8
6 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/26/2025, 8:23:40 PM1 trades$00 min
4/27/2025, 4:40:35 AM2 trades$901 min
4/27/2025, 11:30:02 PM2 trades$271 min
4/28/2025, 12:11:04 AM2 trades$43 min
4/28/2025, 12:21:35 AM1 trades$220 min
4/28/2025, 1:13:35 AM2 trades$32 min
4/28/2025, 1:42:57 AM1 trades$440 min
4/28/2025, 2:01:03 AM1 trades$20 min
4/28/2025, 2:06:39 AM2 trades$44 min
4/28/2025, 2:22:21 AM1 trades$10 min
4/28/2025, 2:32:49 AM1 trades$70 min
4/28/2025, 2:38:17 AM2 trades$701 min
4/28/2025, 2:57:07 AM1 trades$20 min
4/28/2025, 6:25:05 AM1 trades$510 min
4/28/2025, 6:35:11 AM1 trades$1100 min
4/29/2025, 2:17:36 AM1 trades$2350 min
4/29/2025, 2:52:48 AM1 trades$750 min
4/29/2025, 3:20:48 AM1 trades$1000 min
4/29/2025, 4:22:44 AM1 trades$120 min
4/29/2025, 4:55:12 AM1 trades$1270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-28
08-15
11-07
01-13
03-24
07-21
11-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.4 br/event