ineedwater

@ineedwater

#2,864,10365

0xa5ba5f6f39ea98c659ebe2f074c10be6d7057401

~23d· 26 markets · 76 tradesVol: $39,208 @iqpjs384365942026-09-21 13:01:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (16/24)18.3/20
1.25x (win $2,742 / loss $2,193)5.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.78615/15
Sortino 2.73010/10
$+0.0309 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 1108 (24 markets)7/10
10/17 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 193% of peak ($1,414 / $732)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#16,651$124Vol: $13,076
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,034$-1,013Vol: $8,226
📈 ECONOMICS#686,439$-286Vol: $6,495
SPORTS#48,294$712Vol: $6,124
CRYPTO#1,566,254$-169Vol: $4,100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-330
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,208
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
51B / 25S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$-83
Vol: $0
All Time
$-330
Vol: $39,208

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
16W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-315
Win Rate
67%
16W / 8L
Profit Factor
1.25x
Avg Win
$171
Avg Loss
$-365

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,942 (6.165703397904098% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,003
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$711
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$227
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$190
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$178
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)$113
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$85
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$83
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$65
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?$38

Top Losers

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$-851
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-793
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?$-348
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$-103
Epstein client list released by June 30?$-62
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-35

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.091
Sortino
0.102
HHI
2003
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.9%
Top-5 markets
88.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 432s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.54
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.8%
Mid (20-55c)11.8%
High (>55c)80.4%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 10:56:36 AM2 trades$4,4310 min
8/8/2026, 4:17:00 AM6 trades$2,9010 min
12/26/2025, 10:26:49 AM3 trades$2,7942 min
5/11/2026, 2:47:02 AM3 trades$2,2190 min
3/22/2026, 3:43:49 AM1 trades$1,6200 min
1/4/2026, 5:49:09 PM6 trades$1,4365 min
1/16/2026, 5:51:08 PM1 trades$1,1930 min
1/11/2026, 1:43:32 PM1 trades$1,1280 min
1/11/2026, 7:15:52 PM1 trades$1,1280 min
4/27/2026, 12:16:58 PM5 trades$1,0460 min
1/10/2026, 8:48:58 PM1 trades$1,0430 min
11/3/2025, 11:15:05 AM1 trades$1,0200 min
10/30/2025, 11:21:27 AM1 trades$8880 min
1/17/2026, 2:59:14 PM1 trades$8510 min
1/10/2026, 12:02:22 AM1 trades$8350 min
5/31/2026, 4:34:38 PM2 trades$4480 min
1/17/2026, 10:48:38 AM2 trades$4180 min
11/18/2025, 11:39:45 PM1 trades$3770 min
1/10/2026, 6:01:00 PM1 trades$3730 min
1/15/2026, 4:35:24 PM1 trades$3480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
11-18
01-10
01-13
01-16
01-21
03-19
05-11
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 68 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.8 / M11.8 / H80.4