otlthealt

@otlthealt

#2,832,9930

0xa68b7c78dbedd4185d498685671639db0e7bc4b4

~12d· 18 markets · 244 tradesVol: $18,3582026-08-04 18:59:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (2/7)0/20
0.02x (win $10 / loss $590)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.5455 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7710 (7 markets)0/10
1/4 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 6205% of peak ($589 / $10)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#650,671$-541Vol: $16,281
💻 TECH#6,353$90Vol: $1,589
🏛️ POLITICS#228,612$4Vol: $361
📈 ECONOMICS#436,661$-1Vol: $98
CRYPTO#286,580$5Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-443
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,358
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
57B / 187S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$32
Vol: $32
Week
$90
Vol: $1,827
Month
$90
Vol: $1,887
All Time
$-443
Vol: $18,358

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
2W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-443
Win Rate
29%
2W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-197

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10 (0.023131310849578708% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20?$10
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$-535
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$-54
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.554
Sortino
-0.426
HHI
1741
Moderate
EV per $1
$-1.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.2%
Top-5 markets
52.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 215s — normal for humanCV 1.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.86
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.1%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)40.4%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 9:04:52 AM45 trades$2,16812 min
6/22/2026, 10:06:20 AM28 trades$1,3452 min
6/22/2026, 12:19:50 PM21 trades$1,0570 min
6/20/2026, 9:25:11 AM11 trades$8151 min
6/23/2026, 3:07:40 AM14 trades$7800 min
6/6/2026, 3:36:01 AM27 trades$26812 min
6/20/2026, 8:53:50 AM11 trades$2493 min
6/22/2026, 2:09:32 AM5 trades$2260 min
6/6/2026, 5:05:36 AM5 trades$1820 min
6/22/2026, 4:07:46 AM7 trades$1440 min
6/24/2026, 2:53:52 PM9 trades$1290 min
8/3/2026, 4:48:48 PM7 trades$710 min
8/3/2026, 5:04:29 PM4 trades$450 min
6/19/2026, 3:46:59 PM8 trades$393 min
6/18/2026, 11:12:37 AM7 trades$341 min
8/3/2026, 11:11:42 AM11 trades$280 min
8/3/2026, 2:08:54 AM2 trades$250 min
8/1/2026, 4:25:17 AM1 trades$240 min
6/22/2026, 3:37:52 PM4 trades$210 min
8/2/2026, 5:15:06 PM2 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-20
06-22
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.86/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.1 / M10.5 / H40.4